Cognizant Technology Solutions Stock Price Prediction
| CTSH Stock | USD 82.76 1.57 1.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.125 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6712 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9669 | Wall Street Target Price 84.3952 |
Using Cognizant Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cognizant Technology Solutions from the perspective of Cognizant Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cognizant Technology using Cognizant Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cognizant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cognizant Technology's stock price.
Cognizant Technology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cognizant Technology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cognizant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cognizant Technology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 73.9923 | Short Percent 0.0485 | Short Ratio 6.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.8 M | 50 Day MA 78.9942 |
Cognizant Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cognizant Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cognizant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cognizant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cognizant Technology Solutions. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cognizant Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cognizant Technology.
Cognizant Technology Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
Cognizant Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cognizant Technology Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cognizant Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cognizant Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cognizant Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cognizant Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cognizant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cognizant Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 83.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cognizant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cognizant Technology Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.02% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Cognizant Technology trading at USD 82.76, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cognizant Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cognizant Technology Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Cognizant |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cognizant Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cognizant Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cognizant Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cognizant Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cognizant Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cognizant Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cognizant Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cognizant Technology's historical news coverage. Cognizant Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.79 and 84.59, respectively. We have considered Cognizant Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cognizant Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cognizant Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cognizant Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cognizant Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cognizant Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cognizant Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.41 | 0.08 | 0.39 | 13 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
82.76 | 83.19 | 0.07 |
|
Cognizant Technology Hype Timeline
Cognizant Technology is currently traded for 82.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.39. Cognizant is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 83.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Cognizant Technology is about 68.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.15. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 19.35 B. Net Income was 2.13 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.67 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Cognizant Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cognizant Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cognizant Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cognizant Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Cognizant Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cognizant Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WIT | Wipro Limited ADR | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.05 | 3.05 | (2.99) | 8.67 | |
| ACN | Accenture plc | (2.61) | 8 per month | 1.47 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.35) | 9.28 | |
| FISV | Fiserv Inc | 0.78 | 2 per month | 1.37 | 0.03 | 1.91 | (1.85) | 9.52 | |
| IT | Gartner | 2.05 | 7 per month | 1.12 | (0.02) | 1.76 | (2.65) | 7.71 | |
| CACI | CACI International | 18.68 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.54 | (4.84) | 14.84 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | (2.00) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.67 | (2.98) | 11.99 | |
| JKHY | Jack Henry Associates | 2.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.23 | (1.51) | 3.76 | |
| BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions | 3.11 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.05 | 1.40 | (1.26) | 7.63 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | (0.54) | 9 per month | 0.67 | 0.18 | 2.88 | (1.60) | 9.94 | |
| FIS | Fidelity National Information | (0.21) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.61 | (2.65) | 5.01 | |
| LDOS | Leidos Holdings | 1.30 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.69 | (4.35) | 23.10 |
Cognizant Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cognizant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cognizant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cognizant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cognizant Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cognizant Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cognizant Technology Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cognizant Technology based on analysis of Cognizant Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cognizant Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cognizant Technology's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.019 | 0.0155 | 0.0139 | 0.0101 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.52 | 1.97 | 2.27 | 2.15 |
Story Coverage note for Cognizant Technology
The number of cover stories for Cognizant Technology depends on current market conditions and Cognizant Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cognizant Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cognizant Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Cognizant Technology Short Properties
Cognizant Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cognizant Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cognizant Technology Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cognizant Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cognizant Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 505 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Cognizant Stock analysis
When running Cognizant Technology's price analysis, check to measure Cognizant Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cognizant Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Cognizant Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cognizant Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cognizant Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cognizant Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules |