Cvs Health Corp Stock Price Prediction
| CVS Stock | USD 56.71 0.12 0.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3656 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.4579 | Wall Street Target Price 68.3752 |
Using CVS Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corp from the perspective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
CVS Health Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CVS Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CVS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CVS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CVS Health Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CVS Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CVS Health.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CVS Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CVS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CVS Health after-hype prediction price | USD 56.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CVS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVS Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVS Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CVS Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVS Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVS Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CVS Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVS Health's historical news coverage. CVS Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.30 and 59.36, respectively. We have considered CVS Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CVS Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CVS Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVS Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVS Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVS Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.71 | 56.83 | 0.00 |
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CVS Health Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November CVS Health Corp is traded for 56.71. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CVS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 159.12%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 49.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.71. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVS Health Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CVS Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CVS Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVS Health's future price movements. Getting to know how CVS Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVS Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CI | Cigna Corp | (7.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.94 | (2.89) | 9.74 | |
| CNC | Centene Corp | (0.67) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.38 | (4.00) | 12.57 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | (7.21) | 9 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 1.71 | (1.90) | 9.77 | |
| MOH | Molina Healthcare | (5.28) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.52 | (3.81) | 21.48 |
CVS Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CVS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVS using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About CVS Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CVS Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CVS Health Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CVS Health based on analysis of CVS Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CVS Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CVS Health's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0193 | 0.0309 | 0.0243 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.47 | 0.28 | 0.27 |
Story Coverage note for CVS Health
The number of cover stories for CVS Health depends on current market conditions and CVS Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVS Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVS Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CVS Health Short Properties
CVS Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVS Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVS Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVS Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVS Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.5 B |
Additional Tools for CVS Stock Analysis
When running CVS Health's price analysis, check to measure CVS Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVS Health is operating at the current time. Most of CVS Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVS Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVS Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVS Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.