Catalyst Metals (Australia) Price Prediction
| CYL Stock | 2.69 0.03 1.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.28 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4 | Wall Street Target Price 4.1042 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 5.022 |
Using Catalyst Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Catalyst Metals from the perspective of Catalyst Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Catalyst Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Catalyst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Catalyst Metals after-hype prediction price | AUD 2.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Catalyst |
Catalyst Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Catalyst Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Catalyst Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Catalyst Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Catalyst Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Catalyst Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Catalyst Metals' historical news coverage. Catalyst Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.84, respectively. We have considered Catalyst Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Catalyst Metals is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Catalyst Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Catalyst Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Catalyst Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Catalyst Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Catalyst Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 5.15 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.69 | 2.69 | 1.13 |
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Catalyst Metals Hype Timeline
Catalyst Metals is currently traded for 2.69on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Catalyst is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 1.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Catalyst Metals is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.69. The company reported the revenue of 317.01 M. Net Income was 23.56 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.97 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Catalyst Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Catalyst Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Catalyst Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Catalyst Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Catalyst Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Catalyst Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.95 | 0.07 | 3.53 | (2.65) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.06 | 0.07 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.28 | 0.09 | 4.32 | (3.27) | 12.51 |
Catalyst Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Catalyst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Catalyst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Catalyst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Catalyst Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Catalyst Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Catalyst Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Catalyst Metals based on analysis of Catalyst Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Catalyst Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Catalyst Metals's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Catalyst Metals
The number of cover stories for Catalyst Metals depends on current market conditions and Catalyst Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Catalyst Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Catalyst Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Catalyst Metals Short Properties
Catalyst Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Catalyst Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Catalyst Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Catalyst Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catalyst Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 224.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39 M |
Additional Tools for Catalyst Stock Analysis
When running Catalyst Metals' price analysis, check to measure Catalyst Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Catalyst Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Catalyst Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Catalyst Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Catalyst Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Catalyst Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.