Spdr Galaxy Digital Etf Price Patterns
| DECO Etf | 53.45 1.36 2.48% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SPDR Galaxy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SPDR Galaxy Digital from the perspective of SPDR Galaxy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SPDR Galaxy using SPDR Galaxy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SPDR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SPDR Galaxy's stock price.
SPDR Galaxy Implied Volatility | 0.48 |
SPDR Galaxy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SPDR Galaxy Digital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SPDR Galaxy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SPDR Galaxy stock will not fluctuate a lot when SPDR Galaxy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SPDR Galaxy to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SPDR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SPDR Galaxy after-hype prediction price | USD 53.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SPDR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SPDR Galaxy Digital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With SPDR Galaxy trading at USD 53.45, that is roughly USD 0.016 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SPDR Galaxy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SPDR Galaxy Digital options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out SPDR Galaxy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPDR Galaxy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPDR Galaxy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPDR Galaxy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPDR Galaxy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of SPDR Galaxy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SPDR Galaxy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPDR Galaxy's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPDR Galaxy's historical news coverage. SPDR Galaxy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.54 and 56.32, respectively. We have considered SPDR Galaxy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPDR Galaxy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPDR Galaxy Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPDR Galaxy Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as SPDR Galaxy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPDR Galaxy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPDR Galaxy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.89 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
53.45 | 53.43 | 0.04 |
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SPDR Galaxy Hype Timeline
SPDR Galaxy Digital is currently traded for 53.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SPDR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on SPDR Galaxy is about 2125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.45. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out SPDR Galaxy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SPDR Galaxy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPDR Galaxy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPDR Galaxy's future price movements. Getting to know how SPDR Galaxy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPDR Galaxy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WFH | Direxion | 1.02 | 4 per month | 1.27 | 0.04 | 1.83 | (2.47) | 6.54 | |
| WTRE | WisdomTree New Economy | 0.1 | 1 per month | 1.43 | (0.05) | 2.07 | (2.06) | 5.15 | |
| XTOC | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.49 | (0.04) | 0.88 | (0.90) | 2.97 | |
| VNSE | Natixis ETF Trust | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.89 | (0.03) | 1.10 | (1.70) | 3.86 | |
| RJMG | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.15) | 3 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 1.53 | (1.63) | 4.16 | |
| OCTZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | 0.34 | 1 per month | 0.60 | (0.01) | 0.92 | (1.06) | 2.98 | |
| LCDS | JPMorgan Fundamental Data | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.78 | 0.02 | 1.15 | (1.08) | 3.74 | |
| RAUS | RACWI ETF | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.75 | (0.01) | 1.23 | (1.18) | 3.74 | |
| MAYZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.67 | (0.05) | 1.02 | (1.21) | 3.37 | |
| LQPE | PEO AlphaQuest Thematic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.77 | (1.69) | 6.22 |
SPDR Galaxy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPDR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPDR using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPDR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SPDR Galaxy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SPDR Galaxy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SPDR Galaxy Digital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SPDR Galaxy based on analysis of SPDR Galaxy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SPDR Galaxy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SPDR Galaxy's related companies.
Pair Trading with SPDR Galaxy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if SPDR Galaxy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in SPDR Galaxy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with SPDR Etf
| 0.9 | BLOK | Amplify Transformational Potential Growth | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | BLCN | Siren Nasdaq NexGen | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | BITQ | Bitwise Funds Trust Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | DAPP | VanEck Digital Trans | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | CRPT | First Trust SkyBridge | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | FDIG | Fidelity Crypto Industry | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to SPDR Galaxy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace SPDR Galaxy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back SPDR Galaxy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling SPDR Galaxy Digital to buy it.
The correlation of SPDR Galaxy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as SPDR Galaxy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if SPDR Galaxy Digital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for SPDR Galaxy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out SPDR Galaxy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Understanding SPDR Galaxy Digital requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects SPDR's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what SPDR Galaxy's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push SPDR Galaxy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between SPDR Galaxy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding SPDR Galaxy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, SPDR Galaxy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.