Delaware Small Cap Fund Price Prediction

DEVLX Fund  USD 78.57  1.28  1.66%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Delaware Small's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Delaware, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Delaware Small's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Delaware Small Cap, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Delaware Small hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delaware Small Cap from the perspective of Delaware Small response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Delaware Small to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Delaware because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Delaware Small after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Delaware Small Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.2869.5386.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.3976.6477.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.9478.1479.35
Details

Delaware Small After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Delaware Small at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delaware Small or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Delaware Small, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Delaware Small Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Delaware Small's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delaware Small's historical news coverage. Delaware Small's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.32 and 79.82, respectively. We have considered Delaware Small's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
78.57
78.57
After-hype Price
79.82
Upside
Delaware Small is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delaware Small Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.

Delaware Small Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Delaware Small is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delaware Small backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delaware Small, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.25
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
78.57
78.57
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Delaware Small Hype Timeline

Delaware Small Cap is currently traded for 78.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Delaware is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Delaware Small is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.57. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Delaware Small Cap last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Delaware Small Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Delaware Small Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Delaware Small's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delaware Small's future price movements. Getting to know how Delaware Small's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delaware Small may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OASGXOptimum Small Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 1.00 (0.01) 1.91 (1.64) 5.94 
OASVXOptimum Small Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.64  0.04  1.85 (1.43) 6.37 
IMAAXIvy Apollo Multi Asset 0.00 0 per month 0.41 (0.29) 0.62 (0.62) 2.28 
OCFIXOptimum Fixed Income 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.53) 0.45 (0.57) 1.26 
WASAXIvy Asset Strategy 0.00 0 per month 0.60 (0.20) 0.82 (1.09) 3.08 
WSGAXIvy Small Cap 0.00 0 per month 1.08 (0.01) 2.15 (1.70) 7.25 
OCIEXOptimum International Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.23 (1.32) 3.78 
OCLVXOptimum Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.40 (0.06) 1.05 (0.81) 3.34 
OCLGXOptimum Large Cap 0.00 0 per month 1.15 (0.02) 1.59 (2.15) 5.02 
OCSGXOptimum Small Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.93  0.02  1.91 (1.66) 6.05 

Delaware Small Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Delaware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delaware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delaware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Delaware Small Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Delaware Small stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Delaware Small Cap, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Delaware Small based on analysis of Delaware Small hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Delaware Small's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Delaware Small's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Delaware Small

The number of cover stories for Delaware Small depends on current market conditions and Delaware Small's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delaware Small is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delaware Small's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Delaware Mutual Fund

Delaware Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Delaware Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Delaware with respect to the benefits of owning Delaware Small security.
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