Americafirst Defensive Growth Fund Price Prediction
DGQIX Fund | USD 9.26 0.01 0.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Americafirst Defensive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americafirst Defensive Growth from the perspective of Americafirst Defensive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americafirst Defensive to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americafirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Americafirst Defensive after-hype prediction price | USD 9.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Americafirst |
Americafirst Defensive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Americafirst Defensive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americafirst Defensive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Americafirst Defensive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Americafirst Defensive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Americafirst Defensive's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americafirst Defensive's historical news coverage. Americafirst Defensive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.84 and 9.68, respectively. We have considered Americafirst Defensive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Americafirst Defensive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americafirst Defensive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Americafirst Defensive Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Americafirst Defensive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americafirst Defensive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americafirst Defensive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.26 | 9.26 | 0.00 |
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Americafirst Defensive Hype Timeline
Americafirst Defensive is currently traded for 9.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Americafirst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Americafirst Defensive is about 1470.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.26. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americafirst Defensive had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Americafirst Defensive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Americafirst Defensive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Americafirst Defensive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americafirst Defensive's future price movements. Getting to know how Americafirst Defensive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americafirst Defensive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
ZEMIX | Investec Emerging Markets | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.96 | (0.12) | 1.48 | (1.96) | 4.20 | |
RESAX | Rbc Bluebay Emerging | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.17 | (0.39) | 0.49 | (0.37) | 1.71 | |
SEKRX | Dws Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | (0.10) | 1.85 | (1.49) | 5.33 | |
PCEMX | Pace International Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.1) | 1.63 | (1.69) | 6.32 | |
SMQFX | Siit Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | (0.15) | 1.27 | (1.33) | 3.52 | |
ANGCX | Angel Oak Multi Strategy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.10 | (0.96) | 0.12 | (0.23) | 0.70 | |
FEMDX | Franklin Emerging Market | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.41) | 0.42 | (0.25) | 1.08 |
Americafirst Defensive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Americafirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americafirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americafirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Americafirst Defensive Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Americafirst Defensive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americafirst Defensive Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americafirst Defensive based on analysis of Americafirst Defensive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americafirst Defensive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americafirst Defensive's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Americafirst Defensive
The number of cover stories for Americafirst Defensive depends on current market conditions and Americafirst Defensive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americafirst Defensive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americafirst Defensive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Americafirst Mutual Fund
Americafirst Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Americafirst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Americafirst with respect to the benefits of owning Americafirst Defensive security.
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