Dorman Products Stock Price Patterns
| DORM Stock | USD 126.40 1.10 0.86% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dorman Products hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dorman Products from the perspective of Dorman Products response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dorman Products to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dorman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dorman Products after-hype prediction price | USD 129.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Dorman Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Dorman Products After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dorman Products at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dorman Products or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dorman Products, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dorman Products Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dorman Products' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dorman Products' historical news coverage. Dorman Products' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 128.47 and 131.03, respectively. We have considered Dorman Products' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dorman Products is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dorman Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dorman Products Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dorman Products is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dorman Products backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dorman Products, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.31 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.40 | 129.75 | 0.05 |
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Dorman Products Hype Timeline
Dorman Products is currently traded for 126.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Dorman is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 129.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Dorman Products is about 854.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.41. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.01 B. Net Income was 190 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 890.36 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Dorman Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dorman Products Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dorman Products' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dorman Products' future price movements. Getting to know how Dorman Products' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dorman Products may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RUSHA | Rush Enterprises A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.26 | 3.52 | (2.23) | 10.82 | |
| GTX | Garrett Motion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 3.34 | (2.96) | 13.52 | |
| BC | Brunswick | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.18 | 4.32 | (2.70) | 14.76 | |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.18 | (4.35) | 13.84 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | (0.20) | 11 per month | 1.23 | 0.01 | 2.72 | (2.01) | 8.90 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.87 | 10 per month | 0.67 | 0.18 | 2.56 | (1.78) | 10.46 | |
| TNL | Travel Leisure Co | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.13 | 3.26 | (2.27) | 8.90 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.10 | 3.73 | (2.84) | 9.49 | |
| SON | Sonoco Products | 0.80 | 7 per month | 0.69 | 0.24 | 3.22 | (1.66) | 12.48 |
Dorman Products Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dorman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dorman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dorman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dorman Products Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dorman Products stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dorman Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dorman Products based on analysis of Dorman Products hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dorman Products's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dorman Products's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Dorman Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Dorman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dorman Products guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Will Automotive Parts & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Dorman diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dorman Products. Projected growth potential of Dorman fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Dorman Products data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Dorman Products requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Dorman's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Dorman Products' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Dorman Products' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Dorman Products' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dorman Products should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Dorman Products' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.