Duerr Ag Adr Stock Price Prediction
| DURYY Stock | USD 4.45 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Duerr AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duerr AG ADR from the perspective of Duerr AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Duerr AG to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Duerr because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Duerr AG after-hype prediction price | USD 4.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Duerr |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duerr AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duerr AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duerr AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duerr AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Duerr AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duerr AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duerr AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duerr AG's historical news coverage. Duerr AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.99 and 6.91, respectively. We have considered Duerr AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duerr AG is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duerr AG ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duerr AG Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duerr AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duerr AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duerr AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.45 | 4.45 | 0.00 |
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Duerr AG Hype Timeline
Duerr AG ADR is currently traded for 4.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Duerr is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duerr AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.45. The book value of the company was currently reported as 3.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2022. Duerr AG ADR had 200:100 split on the 9th of July 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Duerr AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Duerr AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duerr AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duerr AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Duerr AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duerr AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEIGF | Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.37 | |
| SEIGY | Semperit Aktiengesellschaft Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.20 | 0.00 | 29.14 | |
| AITLF | Airtificial Intelligence Structures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.48 | |
| SSMFF | SFC Energy AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.00 | (6.18) | 12.50 | |
| ADERY | Aida Engineering Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.03 | |
| HBGRF | Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.92 | |
| NLLSY | Nel ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.96 | (3.97) | 27.75 | |
| ABGOF | Abengoa SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GRPRF | Grupo Rotoplas SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.45 | |
| NLLSF | Nel ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.68 | 0.0009 | 4.76 | (8.00) | 17.42 |
Duerr AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duerr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duerr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duerr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Duerr AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Duerr AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Duerr AG ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duerr AG based on analysis of Duerr AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Duerr AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Duerr AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Duerr AG
The number of cover stories for Duerr AG depends on current market conditions and Duerr AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duerr AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duerr AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Duerr AG Short Properties
Duerr AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duerr AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duerr AG ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duerr AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duerr AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 346 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 852.7 M |
Additional Tools for Duerr Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Duerr AG's price analysis, check to measure Duerr AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duerr AG is operating at the current time. Most of Duerr AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duerr AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duerr AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duerr AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.