Aim Investment Securities Fund Price Patterns

DVMFX Fund  USD 39.60  0.06  0.15%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Aim Investment's share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Aim, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 74

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aim Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aim Investment Securities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aim Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aim Investment Securities from the perspective of Aim Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aim Investment to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aim because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aim Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aim Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0334.3543.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9638.2747.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.3339.4040.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aim Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aim Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aim Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aim Investment Securities.

Aim Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aim Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aim Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Aim Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aim Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aim Investment's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aim Investment's historical news coverage. Aim Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.28 and 48.92, respectively. We have considered Aim Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.60
39.60
After-hype Price
48.92
Upside
Aim Investment is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aim Investment Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aim Investment Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Aim Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aim Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aim Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.46 
9.32
 0.00  
  0.42 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.60
39.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aim Investment Hype Timeline

Aim Investment Securities is currently traded for 39.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.42. Aim is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aim Investment is about 3224.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.02. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Aim Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aim Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aim Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aim Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Aim Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aim Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VMICXInvesco Municipal Income 13.81 3 per month 0.00 (0.74) 0.26 (0.17) 0.77 
VMINXInvesco Municipal Income(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.71) 0.17 (0.09) 0.86 
VMIIXInvesco Municipal Income(1.29)6 per month 0.00 (0.71) 0.26 (0.17) 0.86 
OARDXOppenheimer Rising Dividends(16.51)1 per month 0.41  0.07  1.05 (1.11) 10.42 
AMHYXInvesco High Yield(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.29 (0.28) 0.85 
OSICXOppenheimer Strategic Income 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.28) 0.61 (0.31) 1.24 
OSMAXOppenheimer International Small 0.13 1 per month 0.60 (0.02) 1.17 (1.27) 3.78 
OSMCXOppenheimer International Small 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  1.26 (1.26) 31.37 
HYIFXInvesco High Yield 6.77 4 per month 0.00 (0.46) 0.29 (0.28) 1.14 
HYINXInvesco High Yield 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.46) 0.29 (0.28) 1.14 

Aim Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aim Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aim Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aim Investment Securities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aim Investment based on analysis of Aim Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aim Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aim Investment's related companies.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Aim Mutual Fund

Aim Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aim with respect to the benefits of owning Aim Investment security.
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes