Vanguard Extended Duration Etf Price Prediction
| EDV Etf | USD 70.95 0.18 0.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vanguard Extended hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Extended Duration from the perspective of Vanguard Extended response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vanguard Extended to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vanguard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vanguard Extended after-hype prediction price | USD 70.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vanguard |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Extended's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Extended After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vanguard Extended at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vanguard Extended or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Vanguard Extended, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vanguard Extended Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vanguard Extended's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vanguard Extended's historical news coverage. Vanguard Extended's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.77 and 72.13, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Extended's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vanguard Extended is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vanguard Extended is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vanguard Extended Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Vanguard Extended is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vanguard Extended backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vanguard Extended, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.18 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
70.95 | 70.95 | 0.00 |
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Vanguard Extended Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Vanguard Extended is traded for 70.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Vanguard is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 193.44%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vanguard Extended is about 5900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.95. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Vanguard Extended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vanguard Extended Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vanguard Extended's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vanguard Extended's future price movements. Getting to know how Vanguard Extended's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vanguard Extended may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VGLT | Vanguard Long Term Treasury | (0.22) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.11 | (1.38) | 3.79 | |
| VCLT | Vanguard Long Term Corporate | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.84 | (1.17) | 2.95 | |
| BLV | Vanguard Long Term Bond | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.98 | (1.23) | 3.22 | |
| ZROZ | PIMCO 25 Year | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.38 | (2.49) | 7.20 | |
| VGIT | Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.56) | 0.40 | (0.39) | 1.27 |
Vanguard Extended Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vanguard Extended Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vanguard Extended stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vanguard Extended Duration, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Extended based on analysis of Vanguard Extended hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vanguard Extended's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vanguard Extended's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vanguard Extended
The number of cover stories for Vanguard Extended depends on current market conditions and Vanguard Extended's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vanguard Extended is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vanguard Extended's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Vanguard Extended Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of Vanguard Extended is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Extended's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Extended's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Extended's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Extended's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Extended's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Extended is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Extended's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.