EDP Renováveis (Germany) Price Prediction

EDW Stock  EUR 11.05  0.54  5.14%   
The value of RSI of EDP Renováveis' share price is below 30 as of 26th of November 2024 suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling EDP Renovveis SA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

28

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EDP Renováveis' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of EDP Renováveis and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from EDP Renováveis' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EDP Renovveis SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using EDP Renováveis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EDP Renovveis SA from the perspective of EDP Renováveis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EDP Renováveis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EDP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

EDP Renováveis after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 11.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out EDP Renováveis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7410.2712.80
Details

EDP Renováveis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EDP Renováveis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EDP Renováveis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EDP Renováveis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EDP Renováveis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EDP Renováveis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EDP Renováveis' historical news coverage. EDP Renováveis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.52 and 13.58, respectively. We have considered EDP Renováveis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.05
11.05
After-hype Price
13.58
Upside
EDP Renováveis is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EDP Renovveis SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

EDP Renováveis Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EDP Renováveis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EDP Renováveis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EDP Renováveis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
2.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.05
11.05
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

EDP Renováveis Hype Timeline

EDP Renovveis SA is currently traded for 11.05on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EDP is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on EDP Renováveis is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.05. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of EDP Renováveis was currently reported as 9.2. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2022. EDP Renovveis SA had 63:64 split on the 27th of April 2024. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out EDP Renováveis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

EDP Renováveis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EDP Renováveis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EDP Renováveis' future price movements. Getting to know how EDP Renováveis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EDP Renováveis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.38 (4.74) 20.22 
6NMNMI Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.76 (0.02) 2.79 (2.69) 9.64 
39O1Origin Agritech 0.00 0 per month 3.51  0.03  8.41 (5.38) 34.42 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 6.45 (8.57) 52.42 
TLXTalanx AG 0.00 0 per month 1.13 (0.06) 2.67 (1.64) 7.58 
TM9NorAm Drilling AS 0.00 0 per month 4.26 (0.02) 5.56 (6.43) 36.50 
INVNIdentiv 0.00 0 per month 2.54  0.04  5.61 (4.98) 14.01 
IUI1INTUITIVE SURGICAL 0.00 0 per month 1.09  0.09  3.28 (1.96) 10.01 
6HWBANK HANDLOWY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.21 (1.80) 5.39 
VOWVolkswagen AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 2.08 (2.99) 9.42 

EDP Renováveis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EDP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EDP using various technical indicators. When you analyze EDP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About EDP Renováveis Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of EDP Renováveis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EDP Renovveis SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EDP Renováveis based on analysis of EDP Renováveis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EDP Renováveis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EDP Renováveis's related companies.

Story Coverage note for EDP Renováveis

The number of cover stories for EDP Renováveis depends on current market conditions and EDP Renováveis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EDP Renováveis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EDP Renováveis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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EDP Renováveis Short Properties

EDP Renováveis' future price predictability will typically decrease when EDP Renováveis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EDP Renovveis SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EDP Renováveis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EDP Renováveis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding960.6 M

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