EFG International (Switzerland) Price Prediction
| EFGN Stock | CHF 11.70 0.06 0.51% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using EFG International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EFG International AG from the perspective of EFG International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in EFG International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying EFG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
EFG International after-hype prediction price | CHF 11.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
EFG |
EFG International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of EFG International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EFG International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EFG International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
EFG International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting EFG International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EFG International's historical news coverage. EFG International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.46 and 12.94, respectively. We have considered EFG International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
EFG International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EFG International is based on 3 months time horizon.
EFG International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EFG International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EFG International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EFG International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.70 | 11.70 | 0.00 |
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EFG International Hype Timeline
EFG International is currently traded for 11.70on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EFG is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on EFG International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.70. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.22. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. EFG International last dividend was issued on the 4th of May 2022. The entity had 1555:1554 split on the 22nd of May 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out EFG International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.EFG International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to EFG International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EFG International's future price movements. Getting to know how EFG International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EFG International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VONN | Vontobel Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | (0.07) | 1.97 | (1.39) | 4.45 | |
| BAER | Julius Baer Gruppe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.05 | 3.11 | (2.13) | 7.64 | |
| HELN | Helvetia Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.08 | 1.11 | (1.07) | 7.46 | |
| CMBN | Cembra Money Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | (0.06) | 1.53 | (1.30) | 3.96 | |
| LEON | Leonteq AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.73 | (2.83) | 7.90 |
EFG International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine EFG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EFG using various technical indicators. When you analyze EFG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About EFG International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of EFG International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EFG International AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of EFG International based on analysis of EFG International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to EFG International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to EFG International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for EFG International
The number of cover stories for EFG International depends on current market conditions and EFG International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EFG International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EFG International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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EFG International Short Properties
EFG International's future price predictability will typically decrease when EFG International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EFG International AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential EFG International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EFG International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 316.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.1 B |
Additional Tools for EFG Stock Analysis
When running EFG International's price analysis, check to measure EFG International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EFG International is operating at the current time. Most of EFG International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EFG International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EFG International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EFG International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.