Estee Lauder Companies Stock Price Patterns
| EL Stock | USD 115.28 0.07 0.06% |
Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8041 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1699 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9418 | Wall Street Target Price 109.75 |
Using Estee Lauder hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Estee Lauder Companies from the perspective of Estee Lauder response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Estee Lauder using Estee Lauder's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Estee using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Estee Lauder's stock price.
Estee Lauder Short Interest
An investor who is long Estee Lauder may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Estee Lauder and may potentially protect profits, hedge Estee Lauder with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 87.7171 | Short Percent 0.0435 | Short Ratio 2.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 9 M | 50 Day MA 105.4722 |
Estee Lauder Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Estee Lauder's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Estee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Estee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Estee Lauder Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Estee Lauder's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Estee Lauder.
Estee Lauder Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Estee Lauder's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Estee Lauder Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Estee Lauder's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Estee Lauder stock will not fluctuate a lot when Estee Lauder's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Estee Lauder to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Estee because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Estee Lauder after-hype prediction price | USD 115.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Estee contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Estee Lauder Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Estee Lauder trading at USD 115.28, that is roughly USD 0.0367 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Estee Lauder's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Estee Lauder Companies options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Estee Lauder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Estee Lauder After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Estee Lauder at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Estee Lauder or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Estee Lauder, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estee Lauder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Estee Lauder's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Estee Lauder's historical news coverage. Estee Lauder's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.78 and 117.86, respectively. We have considered Estee Lauder's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Estee Lauder is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Estee Lauder Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Estee Lauder Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Estee Lauder is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Estee Lauder backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Estee Lauder, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.04 | 0.54 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
115.28 | 115.82 | 0.47 |
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Estee Lauder Hype Timeline
As of January 31, 2026 Estee Lauder Companies is listed for 115.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Estee is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 115.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 139.73%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Estee Lauder is about 1700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 115.24. The company generated the yearly revenue of 14.29 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.13 B) with gross profit of 10.71 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Estee Lauder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Estee Lauder Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Estee Lauder's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Estee Lauder's future price movements. Getting to know how Estee Lauder's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Estee Lauder may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | (1.41) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.17 | (1.59) | 17.56 | |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.01 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (2.09) | 15.22 | |
| HSY | Hershey Co | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.04 | 2.37 | (2.35) | 6.22 | |
| SYY | Sysco | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 2.68 | (2.10) | 11.45 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 1.97 | (1.93) | 13.48 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.92 | 0.26 | 3.04 | (1.71) | 10.33 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | (0.82) | 10 per month | 1.81 | 0.03 | 2.94 | (3.26) | 7.68 | |
| KHC | Kraft Heinz Co | 0.43 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.95 | (2.54) | 9.17 | |
| JBS | JBS NV | 0.15 | 11 per month | 1.45 | 0.13 | 2.58 | (2.78) | 8.67 | |
| CHD | Church Dwight | 0.63 | 8 per month | 1.19 | 0.04 | 2.33 | (1.92) | 10.66 |
Estee Lauder Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Estee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Estee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Estee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Estee Lauder Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Estee Lauder stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Estee Lauder Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Estee Lauder based on analysis of Estee Lauder hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Estee Lauder's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Estee Lauder's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.025 | 0.0212 | 0.0191 | 0.0201 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.42 | 2.04 | 1.83 | 2.06 |
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Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Estee Lauder. Projected growth potential of Estee fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Estee Lauder assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share (2.59) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 |
The market value of Estee Lauder Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Estee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Estee Lauder's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Estee Lauder's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Estee Lauder's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Estee Lauder's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Estee Lauder's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Estee Lauder should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Estee Lauder's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.