Energy One (Australia) Price Patterns

EOL Stock   14.28  0.17  1.20%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Energy One's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Energy One, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Energy One's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Energy One, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Energy One's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.638
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.2985
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.4348
Wall Street Target Price
21.6575
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.196
Using Energy One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Energy One from the perspective of Energy One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Energy One to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Energy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Energy One after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 14.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Energy One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2612.5415.82
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Energy One After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Energy One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Energy One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Energy One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Energy One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Energy One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Energy One's historical news coverage. Energy One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.02 and 17.58, respectively. We have considered Energy One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.28
14.30
After-hype Price
17.58
Upside
Energy One is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Energy One is based on 3 months time horizon.

Energy One Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Energy One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Energy One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Energy One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
3.28
  0.02 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.28
14.30
0.14 
3,644  
Notes

Energy One Hype Timeline

Energy One is currently traded for 14.28on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Energy is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Energy One is about 3858.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.26. The company reported the revenue of 61.12 M. Net Income was 5.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.47 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Energy One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Energy One Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Energy One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Energy One's future price movements. Getting to know how Energy One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Energy One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CBAPMCommonwealth Bank of 0.06 8 per month 0.43 (0.06) 0.60 (0.45) 3.24 
MQGMacquarie Group(1.49)9 per month 0.88  0.02  2.64 (1.67) 5.00 
NABPKNational Australia Bank 0.25 2 per month 0.58 (0.04) 0.85 (0.80) 5.86 
NABPINational Australia Bank 0.00 0 per month 0.20 (0.14) 0.56 (0.47) 1.36 
NABPJNational Australia Bank 0.14 8 per month 0.19 (0.20) 0.32 (0.34) 1.32 
NABNational Australia Bank 0.19 5 per month 0.95  0.03  2.07 (1.71) 4.60 
ATMAneka Tambang TBK 0.00 4 per month 2.16  0.02  4.21 (6.06) 11.36 
MQGPDMacquarie Group 0.00 0 per month 0.06 (0.31) 0.31 (0.28) 0.95 
WBCWestpac Banking 0.00 0 per month 0.88  0.04  1.82 (1.64) 4.49 
AN3PJAustralia and New 0.00 0 per month 0.28 (0.26) 0.36 (0.36) 1.44 

Energy One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Energy One Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Energy One stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Energy One, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Energy One based on analysis of Energy One hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Energy One's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Energy One's related companies.

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Additional Tools for Energy Stock Analysis

When running Energy One's price analysis, check to measure Energy One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Energy One is operating at the current time. Most of Energy One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Energy One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Energy One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Energy One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.