Axa Equitable Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| EQH Stock | USD 46.80 0.07 0.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.053 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.2765 | Wall Street Target Price 53.3 |
Using Axa Equitable hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axa Equitable Holdings from the perspective of Axa Equitable response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Axa Equitable to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Axa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Axa Equitable after-hype prediction price | USD 46.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Axa |
Axa Equitable After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axa Equitable at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axa Equitable or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axa Equitable, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axa Equitable Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axa Equitable's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axa Equitable's historical news coverage. Axa Equitable's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.64 and 48.96, respectively. We have considered Axa Equitable's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axa Equitable is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axa Equitable Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axa Equitable Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axa Equitable is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axa Equitable backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axa Equitable, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.16 | 0.58 | 1.69 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.80 | 46.80 | 0.00 |
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Axa Equitable Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Axa Equitable Holdings is traded for 46.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.58, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.69. Axa is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 74.48%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Axa Equitable is about 25.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.11. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.71. Axa Equitable Holdings recorded a loss per share of 0.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Axa Equitable Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Axa Equitable Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axa Equitable's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axa Equitable's future price movements. Getting to know how Axa Equitable's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axa Equitable may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GBLI | Global Indemnity PLC | (0.50) | 6 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 2.91 | (1.97) | 9.05 | |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity | (36.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.13 | (3.12) | 10.81 | |
| AMSF | AMERISAFE | 3.89 | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.1 | 2.32 | (2.12) | 12.74 | |
| DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | (1.10) | 8 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 2.30 | (1.79) | 8.58 |
Axa Equitable Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Axa Equitable Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Axa Equitable stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Axa Equitable Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axa Equitable based on analysis of Axa Equitable hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Axa Equitable's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Axa Equitable's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0274 | 0.0345 | 0.0327 | 0.022 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.24 | 0.86 | 1.11 | 0.81 |
Story Coverage note for Axa Equitable
The number of cover stories for Axa Equitable depends on current market conditions and Axa Equitable's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axa Equitable is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axa Equitable's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Axa Equitable Short Properties
Axa Equitable's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axa Equitable's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axa Equitable Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axa Equitable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axa Equitable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 351.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Axa Stock analysis
When running Axa Equitable's price analysis, check to measure Axa Equitable's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axa Equitable is operating at the current time. Most of Axa Equitable's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axa Equitable's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axa Equitable's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axa Equitable to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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