Eros International (India) Price Prediction
| EROSMEDIA | 14.74 0.36 2.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Wall Street Target Price 288 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.23 |
Using Eros International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eros International Media from the perspective of Eros International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eros International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eros because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eros International after-hype prediction price | INR 14.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eros |
Eros International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eros International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eros International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eros International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eros International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eros International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eros International's historical news coverage. Eros International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.68 and 17.34, respectively. We have considered Eros International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eros International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eros International Media is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eros International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eros International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eros International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eros International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.83 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.74 | 14.51 | 0.90 |
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Eros International Hype Timeline
Eros International Media is currently traded for 14.74on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. Eros is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Eros International is about 437.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.96. The company reported the revenue of 6.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 223 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eros International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eros International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eros International's future price movements. Getting to know how Eros International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eros International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VHLTD | Viceroy Hotels Limited | 9.64 | 3 per month | 2.09 | 0.03 | 5.00 | (4.09) | 13.76 | |
| EMBASSY-RR | Embassy Office Parks | (4.90) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.56 | (1.96) | 4.80 | |
| KAMATHOTEL | Kamat Hotels Limited | 6.90 | 1 per month | 1.90 | (0.02) | 4.01 | (3.55) | 24.47 | |
| SINCLAIR | SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 3.18 | (2.36) | 8.66 | |
| EMBASSY | EMBASSY OFFICE PARKS | (7.76) | 2 per month | 1.04 | (0.11) | 1.80 | (1.85) | 4.81 | |
| APOLSINHOT | Apollo Sindoori Hotels | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.83 | 0.06 | 6.25 | (3.55) | 24.10 |
Eros International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eros price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eros using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eros charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eros International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eros International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eros International Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eros International based on analysis of Eros International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eros International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eros International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Eros International
The number of cover stories for Eros International depends on current market conditions and Eros International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eros International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eros International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Eros International Short Properties
Eros International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Eros International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eros International Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eros International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eros International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 926.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Eros Stock analysis
When running Eros International's price analysis, check to measure Eros International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eros International is operating at the current time. Most of Eros International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eros International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eros International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eros International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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