Eaton Vance Tax Fund Price Prediction
| ETY Fund | USD 14.90 0.02 0.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Eaton Vance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eaton Vance Tax from the perspective of Eaton Vance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eaton Vance to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eaton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Eaton Vance after-hype prediction price | USD 14.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eaton |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eaton Vance After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eaton Vance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eaton Vance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Eaton Vance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eaton Vance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eaton Vance's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eaton Vance's historical news coverage. Eaton Vance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.12 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Eaton Vance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eaton Vance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eaton Vance Tax is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eaton Vance Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Eaton Vance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eaton Vance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eaton Vance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.79 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.90 | 14.92 | 0.13 |
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Eaton Vance Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Eaton Vance Tax is traded for 14.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Eaton is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Eaton Vance is about 23700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.90. The company reported the last year's revenue of 29.43 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.99 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 30.01 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Eaton Vance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Eaton Vance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eaton Vance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eaton Vance's future price movements. Getting to know how Eaton Vance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eaton Vance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETJ | Eaton Vance Risk | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.50 | (0.10) | 0.88 | (0.87) | 3.26 | |
| MHD | Blackrock Muniholdings Closed | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.72 | (0.19) | 0.88 | (1.14) | 3.11 | |
| DTF | DTF Tax Free | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.23 | (0.36) | 0.54 | (0.36) | 1.96 | |
| EFT | Eaton Vance Floating | 0.11 | 3 per month | 0.26 | (0.14) | 0.77 | (0.68) | 1.61 | |
| ETB | Eaton Vance Tax | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.31 | (0.02) | 0.88 | (0.91) | 2.02 | |
| EVV | Eaton Vance Limited | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.61 | (0.17) | 1.28 | (1.16) | 3.52 |
Eaton Vance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eaton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eaton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eaton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Eaton Vance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Eaton Vance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eaton Vance Tax, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eaton Vance based on analysis of Eaton Vance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eaton Vance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eaton Vance's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Eaton Vance
The number of cover stories for Eaton Vance depends on current market conditions and Eaton Vance's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eaton Vance is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eaton Vance's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Eaton Fund
Eaton Vance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eaton Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eaton with respect to the benefits of owning Eaton Vance security.
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