Evolv Technologies Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| EVLVW Stock | USD 0.24 0.04 20.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.288 |
Using Evolv Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evolv Technologies Holdings from the perspective of Evolv Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Evolv Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Evolv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Evolv Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 0.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Evolv |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evolv Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Evolv Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Evolv Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evolv Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evolv Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Evolv Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Evolv Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evolv Technologies' historical news coverage. Evolv Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 10.44, respectively. We have considered Evolv Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Evolv Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evolv Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Evolv Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Evolv Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evolv Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evolv Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 10.29 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.24 | 0.23 | 4.17 |
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Evolv Technologies Hype Timeline
Evolv Technologies is currently traded for 0.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Evolv is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -4.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Evolv Technologies is about 33517.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.22. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. Evolv Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Evolv Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Evolv Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Evolv Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evolv Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Evolv Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evolv Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INDIW | Indie Semiconductor Warrant | 0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.70 | (9.13) | 21.58 | |
| EVGOW | EVgo Equity Warrants | (0.39) | 2 per month | 7.55 | 0.16 | 27.94 | (14.29) | 187.32 | |
| ASTLW | Algoma Steel Group | 0.08 | 2 per month | 4.14 | 0.11 | 7.93 | (7.91) | 28.47 | |
| LSEAW | Landsea Homes | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 12.50 | (12.00) | 34.72 | |
| APPHW | AppHarvest | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 17.07 | (27.17) | 85.32 |
Evolv Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Evolv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evolv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evolv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Evolv Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Evolv Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evolv Technologies Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolv Technologies based on analysis of Evolv Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evolv Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evolv Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 2.82 | 2.94 | 2.68 | 1.81 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 110.03 | 70.02 | 74.48 | 139.56 |
Story Coverage note for Evolv Technologies
The number of cover stories for Evolv Technologies depends on current market conditions and Evolv Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evolv Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evolv Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Evolv Technologies Short Properties
Evolv Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Evolv Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evolv Technologies Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evolv Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolv Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.5 M |
Additional Tools for Evolv Stock Analysis
When running Evolv Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Evolv Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolv Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Evolv Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolv Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolv Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolv Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.