Exco Technologies Limited Stock Price Prediction
| EXCOF Stock | USD 4.96 0.08 1.64% |
Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Exco Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exco Technologies Limited from the perspective of Exco Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exco Technologies to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exco Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 4.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exco |
Exco Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exco Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exco Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Exco Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exco Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exco Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exco Technologies' historical news coverage. Exco Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.49 and 6.43, respectively. We have considered Exco Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exco Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exco Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exco Technologies Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exco Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exco Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exco Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.96 | 4.96 | 0.00 |
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Exco Technologies Hype Timeline
Exco Technologies is currently traded for 4.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exco is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exco Technologies is about 17479.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.96. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.85. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Exco Technologies last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. The entity had 3:2 split on the 5th of February 1998. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Exco Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exco Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exco Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exco Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Exco Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exco Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AKBIF | Akebono Brake Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GHIFF | Gamehost | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 10.33 | |
| NWAU | Consumer Automotive Finance | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNGSF | Singamas Container Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WLMTF | Wuling Motors Holdings | (0.06) | 2 per month | 5.22 | (0.01) | 13.67 | (12.93) | 34.09 | |
| CNRFF | Consorcio ARA S | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HXGCF | Hexagon Composites ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.00 | (6.41) | 23.55 | |
| KGAUF | Kongsberg Automotive ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.26 | |
| BLBRF | Bloomberry Resorts | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.36 | |
| HSWLF | Hostelworld Group plc | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Exco Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exco Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exco Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exco Technologies Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exco Technologies based on analysis of Exco Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exco Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exco Technologies's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Exco Technologies
The number of cover stories for Exco Technologies depends on current market conditions and Exco Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exco Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exco Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Exco Pink Sheet analysis
When running Exco Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Exco Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exco Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Exco Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exco Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exco Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exco Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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