Exponent Stock Price Patterns
| EXPO Stock | USD 71.87 0.38 0.53% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4654 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0556 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2475 | Wall Street Target Price 90.3333 |
Using Exponent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exponent from the perspective of Exponent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exponent using Exponent's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exponent using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exponent's stock price.
Exponent Short Interest
An investor who is long Exponent may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Exponent and may potentially protect profits, hedge Exponent with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 72.8271 | Short Percent 0.0652 | Short Ratio 6.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 72.617 |
Exponent Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Exponent's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exponent. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exponent can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exponent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Exponent's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Exponent.
Exponent Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Exponent's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exponent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exponent's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exponent stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exponent's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exponent to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exponent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exponent after-hype prediction price | USD 71.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Exponent contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Exponent will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Exponent trading at USD 71.87, that is roughly USD 0.0243 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Exponent's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Exponent options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Exponent After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exponent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exponent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exponent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exponent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exponent's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exponent's historical news coverage. Exponent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.37 and 73.39, respectively. We have considered Exponent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exponent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exponent is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exponent Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exponent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exponent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exponent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.51 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.87 | 71.88 | 0.01 |
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Exponent Hype Timeline
Exponent is currently traded for 71.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Exponent is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 71.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 127.97%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Exponent is about 119.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.88. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 558.51 M. Net Income was 109 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 191.78 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exponent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exponent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exponent's future price movements. Getting to know how Exponent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exponent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAAP | Corporacion America Airports | (0.76) | 9 per month | 0.61 | 0.27 | 4.77 | (2.21) | 19.75 | |
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | (0.85) | 18 per month | 1.26 | 0.04 | 2.39 | (2.29) | 14.24 | |
| BRC | Brady | 0.71 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (1.89) | 5.12 | |
| MYRG | MYR Group | (0.21) | 10 per month | 2.40 | 0.08 | 4.31 | (4.84) | 10.70 | |
| SNDR | Schneider National | 0.17 | 10 per month | 1.99 | 0.15 | 4.96 | (2.24) | 11.12 | |
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 0.88 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.60 | (4.02) | 8.12 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.01 | 2.91 | (1.90) | 14.48 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | (0.80) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.76 | (5.25) | 15.73 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | 14.83 | 8 per month | 1.86 | 0.09 | 4.86 | (3.15) | 12.12 | |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies | (1.27) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.17 | 3.33 | (2.41) | 8.91 |
Exponent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exponent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exponent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exponent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exponent Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exponent stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exponent, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exponent based on analysis of Exponent hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exponent's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exponent's related companies. | 2016 | 2021 | 2022 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008433 | 0.007034 | 0.0128 | 0.00824 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.79 | 13.17 | 8.14 | 13.83 |
Pair Trading with Exponent
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Exponent position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Exponent will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Exponent Stock
Moving against Exponent Stock
| 0.56 | ATMV | ATMV Old Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | MMC | MMC Old Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.37 | ULS | UL Solutions | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Exponent could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Exponent when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Exponent - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Exponent to buy it.
The correlation of Exponent is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Exponent moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Exponent moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Exponent can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Exponent Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Exponent Stock, please use our How to Invest in Exponent guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Research & Consulting Services sector continue expanding? Could Exponent diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exponent. Projected growth potential of Exponent fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Exponent data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.1 | Dividend Share 1.18 | Earnings Share 2.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
The market value of Exponent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exponent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exponent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exponent's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Exponent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exponent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Exponent's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Exponent should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Exponent's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.