Exsitec Holding (Sweden) Price Prediction
| EXS Stock | 141.50 2.50 1.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Exsitec Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exsitec Holding AB from the perspective of Exsitec Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exsitec Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exsitec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exsitec Holding after-hype prediction price | SEK 141.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exsitec |
Exsitec Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exsitec Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exsitec Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exsitec Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exsitec Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exsitec Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exsitec Holding's historical news coverage. Exsitec Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 139.53 and 143.47, respectively. We have considered Exsitec Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exsitec Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exsitec Holding AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exsitec Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exsitec Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exsitec Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exsitec Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
141.50 | 141.50 | 0.00 |
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Exsitec Holding Hype Timeline
Exsitec Holding AB is currently traded for 141.50on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exsitec is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exsitec Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 141.50. About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.64. Exsitec Holding AB last dividend was issued on the 2nd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Exsitec Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exsitec Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exsitec Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exsitec Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Exsitec Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exsitec Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SVED-B | Svedbergs i Dalstorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.06 | (3.08) | 10.20 | |
| KNOW | Know IT AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.54 | (3.68) | 13.68 | |
| FPIP | FormPipe Software AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.10 | (3.10) | 12.02 |
Exsitec Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exsitec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exsitec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exsitec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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About Exsitec Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exsitec Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exsitec Holding AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exsitec Holding based on analysis of Exsitec Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exsitec Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exsitec Holding's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Exsitec Holding
The number of cover stories for Exsitec Holding depends on current market conditions and Exsitec Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exsitec Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exsitec Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Exsitec Holding Short Properties
Exsitec Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exsitec Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exsitec Holding AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exsitec Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exsitec Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 82.8 M |
Additional Tools for Exsitec Stock Analysis
When running Exsitec Holding's price analysis, check to measure Exsitec Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exsitec Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Exsitec Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exsitec Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exsitec Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exsitec Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.