Diamondback Energy Stock Price Prediction

FANG Stock  USD 185.29  2.59  1.42%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the value of relative strength index of Diamondback Energy's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diamondback Energy, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Diamondback Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Diamondback Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Diamondback Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diamondback Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Diamondback Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.37)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
15.8855
EPS Estimate Next Year
15.2325
Wall Street Target Price
216.4643
Using Diamondback Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diamondback Energy from the perspective of Diamondback Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Diamondback Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Diamondback Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diamondback. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diamondback can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diamondback Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diamondback Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diamondback Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Diamondback Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Diamondback because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Diamondback Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 182.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Diamondback Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Diamondback Stock please use our How to Invest in Diamondback Energy guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
156.95159.12200.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
181.26183.44185.61
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
164.26180.50200.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.463.974.32
Details

Diamondback Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Diamondback Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diamondback Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diamondback Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Diamondback Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Diamondback Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diamondback Energy's historical news coverage. Diamondback Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.53 and 184.87, respectively. We have considered Diamondback Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
185.29
180.53
Downside
182.70
After-hype Price
184.87
Upside
Diamondback Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diamondback Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Diamondback Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diamondback Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diamondback Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diamondback Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.18
  0.09 
  0.02 
11 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
185.29
182.70
0.00 
177.24  
Notes

Diamondback Energy Hype Timeline

Diamondback Energy is currently traded for 185.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Diamondback is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 177.24%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diamondback Energy is about 722.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 185.31. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Diamondback Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.2. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.34. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Diamondback Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Diamondback Stock please use our How to Invest in Diamondback Energy guide.

Diamondback Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Diamondback Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diamondback Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Diamondback Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diamondback Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DVNDevon Energy 0.68 10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.17 (2.95) 7.21 
CTRACoterra Energy 0.22 11 per month 1.25  0.08  2.27 (1.94) 8.03 
EOGEOG Resources 0.03 9 per month 1.37  0.02  2.49 (2.88) 7.05 
COPConocoPhillips 0.33 8 per month 1.53 (0.03) 2.59 (3.24) 7.92 
ARAntero Resources Corp(1.83)10 per month 2.17  0.08  4.91 (3.20) 13.54 
CPECallon Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 3.03 (0.02) 4.32 (5.23) 12.38 
ESTEEarthstone Energy 0.00 0 per month 2.66  0.02  4.37 (4.80) 10.76 
VTLEVital Energy 0.45 10 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.41 (6.77) 17.63 
PXDPioneer Natural Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.43 (2.71) 6.32 
OXYOccidental Petroleum 0.36 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.04 (2.77) 7.68 
APAAPA Corporation 0.50 11 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.31 (5.80) 17.30 
HESHess Corporation 1.73 11 per month 1.21  0.02  2.25 (2.31) 5.16 
EQTEQT Corporation 1.45 12 per month 1.18  0.21  3.68 (1.95) 8.85 

Diamondback Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Diamondback price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diamondback using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diamondback charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Diamondback Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Diamondback Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Diamondback Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Diamondback Energy based on analysis of Diamondback Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Diamondback Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Diamondback Energy's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01640.06510.05170.0543
Price To Sales Ratio2.82.53.323.15

Story Coverage note for Diamondback Energy

The number of cover stories for Diamondback Energy depends on current market conditions and Diamondback Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diamondback Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diamondback Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Diamondback Energy Short Properties

Diamondback Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diamondback Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diamondback Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diamondback Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diamondback Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180 M
Cash And Short Term Investments582 M

Complementary Tools for Diamondback Stock analysis

When running Diamondback Energy's price analysis, check to measure Diamondback Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diamondback Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Diamondback Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diamondback Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diamondback Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diamondback Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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