Franklin Total Return Fund Price Patterns

FBDAX Fund  USD 8.48  0.03  0.36%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Total's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin Total, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Franklin Total's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Total Return, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Franklin Total hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Total Return from the perspective of Franklin Total response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Total to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin Total after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Franklin Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.318.488.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.308.478.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.448.478.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Total Return.

Franklin Total After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin Total at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Total or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Franklin Total, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin Total Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin Total's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Total's historical news coverage. Franklin Total's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.31 and 8.65, respectively. We have considered Franklin Total's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.48
8.48
After-hype Price
8.65
Upside
Franklin Total is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Total Return is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin Total Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Franklin Total is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Total backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Total, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.17
 0.00  
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.48
8.48
0.00 
1,700  
Notes

Franklin Total Hype Timeline

Franklin Total Return is currently traded for 8.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Total is about 3966.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.48. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.12. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Franklin Total Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin Total Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Total's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Total's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Total's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Total may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Franklin Total Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin Total Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin Total stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Total Return, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Total based on analysis of Franklin Total hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Total's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Total's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Total security.
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