Leisure Portfolio Leisure Fund Price Prediction

FDLSX Fund  USD 22.23  0.22  0.98%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Leisure Portfolio's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Leisure, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Leisure Portfolio's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leisure Portfolio Leisure, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Leisure Portfolio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leisure Portfolio Leisure from the perspective of Leisure Portfolio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Leisure Portfolio to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Leisure because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Leisure Portfolio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Leisure Portfolio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leisure Portfolio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3021.1324.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2322.0522.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.3921.5322.66
Details

Leisure Portfolio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Leisure Portfolio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leisure Portfolio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Leisure Portfolio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Leisure Portfolio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Leisure Portfolio's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leisure Portfolio's historical news coverage. Leisure Portfolio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.43 and 23.09, respectively. We have considered Leisure Portfolio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.23
22.26
After-hype Price
23.09
Upside
Leisure Portfolio is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leisure Portfolio Leisure is based on 3 months time horizon.

Leisure Portfolio Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Leisure Portfolio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leisure Portfolio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leisure Portfolio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
0.83
  0.03 
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.23
22.26
0.13 
553.33  
Notes

Leisure Portfolio Hype Timeline

Leisure Portfolio Leisure is currently traded for 22.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Leisure is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 22.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Leisure Portfolio is about 1012.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.25. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Leisure Portfolio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Leisure Portfolio Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Leisure Portfolio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leisure Portfolio's future price movements. Getting to know how Leisure Portfolio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leisure Portfolio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Leisure Portfolio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Leisure price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leisure using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leisure charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Leisure Portfolio Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Leisure Portfolio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Leisure Portfolio Leisure, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Leisure Portfolio based on analysis of Leisure Portfolio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Leisure Portfolio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Leisure Portfolio's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Leisure Portfolio

The number of cover stories for Leisure Portfolio depends on current market conditions and Leisure Portfolio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leisure Portfolio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leisure Portfolio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Leisure Mutual Fund

Leisure Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leisure Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leisure with respect to the benefits of owning Leisure Portfolio security.
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