Federal Bank (India) Price Prediction
| FEDERALBNK | 212.88 3.51 1.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.033 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.69 | Wall Street Target Price 223.0882 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.5 |
Using Federal Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Federal Bank from the perspective of Federal Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal Bank after-hype prediction price | INR 204.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Federal Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Federal Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal Bank's historical news coverage. Federal Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 202.65 and 234.17, respectively. We have considered Federal Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federal Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.88 | 0.02 | 28.84 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
212.88 | 204.55 | 3.91 |
|
Federal Bank Hype Timeline
Federal Bank is currently traded for 212.88on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -28.84. Federal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 204.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -3.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Federal Bank is about 0.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 184.04. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Federal Bank recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.75. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of July 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Federal Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federal Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRF | MRF Limited | (2,583) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.57 | (1.78) | 4.82 | |
| JSWHL | JSW Holdings Limited | 1,478 | 3 per month | 2.14 | 0.24 | 12.57 | (5.00) | 23.31 | |
| MAHSCOOTER | Maharashtra Scooters Limited | (9.96) | 5 per month | 2.85 | (0.02) | 5.56 | (5.10) | 13.72 | |
| NSIL | Nalwa Sons Investments | (420.65) | 2 per month | 2.91 | 0.20 | 10.57 | (5.49) | 21.64 | |
| KICL | Kalyani Investment | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.86 | 0.02 | 5.00 | (5.00) | 12.44 | |
| PILANIINVS | Pilani Investment and | (256.60) | 3 per month | 2.66 | 0.03 | 6.91 | (5.00) | 28.15 | |
| VHL | Vardhman Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 2 per month | 3.38 | 0.06 | 9.72 | (5.06) | 33.81 | |
| SUMMITSEC | Summit Securities Limited | 66.50 | 4 per month | 3.19 | 0.13 | 8.18 | (5.83) | 23.61 | |
| NBIFIN | N B I | (5.00) | 1 per month | 1.98 | 0.02 | 4.73 | (3.83) | 9.75 |
Federal Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federal Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Federal Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Bank based on analysis of Federal Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal Bank's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Federal Bank
The number of cover stories for Federal Bank depends on current market conditions and Federal Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Federal Bank Short Properties
Federal Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Federal Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.5 B |
Other Information on Investing in Federal Stock
Federal Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal Bank security.