First Farmers Financial Stock Price Prediction
| FFMR Stock | USD 66.99 0.49 0.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Farmers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using First Farmers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Farmers Financial from the perspective of First Farmers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in First Farmers. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Farmers to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Farmers after-hype prediction price | USD 66.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Farmers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Farmers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Farmers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of First Farmers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Farmers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Farmers' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Farmers' historical news coverage. First Farmers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.58 and 67.40, respectively. We have considered First Farmers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Farmers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Farmers Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Farmers OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as First Farmers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Farmers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Farmers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
66.99 | 66.99 | 0.00 |
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First Farmers Hype Timeline
First Farmers Financial is currently traded for 66.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Farmers is about 177.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.99. The book value of the company was currently reported as 34.69. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.82. First Farmers Financial last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of June 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out First Farmers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Farmers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Farmers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Farmers' future price movements. Getting to know how First Farmers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Farmers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FABP | Farmers Bancorp | (0.08) | 40 per month | 0.99 | (0.11) | 1.43 | (1.29) | 6.73 | |
| LOGN | Logansport Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | (0.04) | 3.85 | (2.50) | 9.42 | |
| FMAO | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | (0.33) | 7 per month | 1.70 | 0.09 | 3.85 | (2.67) | 15.56 | |
| LKFN | Lakeland Financial | (1.90) | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.01 | 3.84 | (2.98) | 14.38 | |
| FFWC | FFW Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1.39 | (0.62) | 6.78 | |
| AOZOF | Aozora Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.84 | |
| CRZY | Crazy Woman Creek | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.34 | (0.88) | 6.25 | |
| AGRPF | Absa Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.05 | |
| AIBRF | AIB Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | (0.04) | 3.75 | (2.81) | 11.01 | |
| AOZOY | Aozora Bank Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.92 |
First Farmers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Farmers Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Farmers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Farmers Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Farmers based on analysis of First Farmers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Farmers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Farmers's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First Farmers
The number of cover stories for First Farmers depends on current market conditions and First Farmers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Farmers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Farmers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Farmers Short Properties
First Farmers' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Farmers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Farmers Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Farmers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Farmers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7 M |
Additional Tools for First OTC Stock Analysis
When running First Farmers' price analysis, check to measure First Farmers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Farmers is operating at the current time. Most of First Farmers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Farmers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Farmers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Farmers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.