Ferrellgas Partners Lp Stock Price Prediction
| FGPR Stock | USD 18.25 0.50 2.67% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ferrellgas Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ferrellgas Partners LP from the perspective of Ferrellgas Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ferrellgas Partners to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ferrellgas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ferrellgas Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 18.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ferrellgas |
Ferrellgas Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ferrellgas Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ferrellgas Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ferrellgas Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ferrellgas Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ferrellgas Partners' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ferrellgas Partners' historical news coverage. Ferrellgas Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.88 and 21.62, respectively. We have considered Ferrellgas Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ferrellgas Partners is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ferrellgas Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ferrellgas Partners Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ferrellgas Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ferrellgas Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ferrellgas Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 3.39 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.25 | 18.25 | 0.00 |
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Ferrellgas Partners Hype Timeline
Ferrellgas Partners is currently traded for 18.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Ferrellgas is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ferrellgas Partners is about 8071.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.23. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.72. Ferrellgas Partners last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2018. The entity had 1:20 split on the 1st of April 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Ferrellgas Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ferrellgas Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ferrellgas Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ferrellgas Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Ferrellgas Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ferrellgas Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWMIF | Tidewater Midstream and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.09 | (3.89) | 12.33 | |
| ZPHRF | Zephyr Energy plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.51 | (6.00) | 40.72 | |
| BNEFF | Bonterra Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.06 | 4.32 | (2.69) | 16.10 | |
| CRNCY | Capricorn Energy PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.25 | (4.76) | 24.92 | |
| BKRP | Black Rock Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEGYY | SPT Energy Group | (0.42) | 16 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 204.35 | |
| ROXIF | Caspian Sunrise plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.59 | |
| CNPRF | Condor Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.38 | (0.01) | 3.91 | (4.96) | 15.66 | |
| STGSF | State Gas Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QCLSF | Global PVQ SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Ferrellgas Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ferrellgas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ferrellgas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ferrellgas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ferrellgas Partners Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ferrellgas Partners stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ferrellgas Partners LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ferrellgas Partners based on analysis of Ferrellgas Partners hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ferrellgas Partners's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ferrellgas Partners's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ferrellgas Partners
The number of cover stories for Ferrellgas Partners depends on current market conditions and Ferrellgas Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ferrellgas Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ferrellgas Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ferrellgas Partners Short Properties
Ferrellgas Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ferrellgas Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ferrellgas Partners LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ferrellgas Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferrellgas Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 147.5 M |
Additional Tools for Ferrellgas Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ferrellgas Partners' price analysis, check to measure Ferrellgas Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ferrellgas Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Ferrellgas Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ferrellgas Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ferrellgas Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ferrellgas Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.