Farmers Merchants Bancshares Stock Price Prediction
| FMBN Stock | USD 30.85 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Farmers Merchants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmers Merchants Bancshares from the perspective of Farmers Merchants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmers Merchants to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Farmers Merchants after-hype prediction price | USD 30.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Farmers |
Farmers Merchants After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmers Merchants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmers Merchants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Farmers Merchants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmers Merchants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmers Merchants' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmers Merchants' historical news coverage. Farmers Merchants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.75 and 31.95, respectively. We have considered Farmers Merchants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmers Merchants is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmers Merchants is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmers Merchants Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmers Merchants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers Merchants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmers Merchants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.85 | 30.85 | 0.00 |
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Farmers Merchants Hype Timeline
Farmers Merchants is currently traded for 30.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Farmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmers Merchants is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.85. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmers Merchants last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Farmers Merchants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Farmers Merchants Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmers Merchants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmers Merchants' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmers Merchants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmers Merchants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMBM | F M Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.18 | 0.13 | 1.01 | (0.89) | 2.49 | |
| CBCY | Central Bancompany | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.1 | 6.73 | (3.21) | 25.42 | |
| MPCB | Mountain Pacific Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.07 | 1.69 | (1.60) | 10.65 | |
| CNBW | CNB Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 5.92 | 0.00 | 26.40 | |
| JDVB | JD Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | 0.13 | 1.08 | (0.13) | 8.22 | |
| PPLL | Peoples | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 65.12 | |
| CYVF | Crystal Valley Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.03 | 1.33 | (0.96) | 8.13 | |
| JFBC | Jeffersonville Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | (0.03) | 1.91 | (2.05) | 5.86 | |
| PFBX | Peoples Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | (0.03) | 0.90 | (0.89) | 19.09 | |
| CNBB | Cnb Community Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (0.56) | 3.04 |
Farmers Merchants Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Farmers Merchants Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Farmers Merchants stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmers Merchants Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers Merchants based on analysis of Farmers Merchants hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmers Merchants's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmers Merchants's related companies.
Pair Trading with Farmers Merchants
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Farmers Merchants position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Farmers Merchants will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Farmers Pink Sheet
Moving against Farmers Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Farmers Merchants could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Farmers Merchants when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Farmers Merchants - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Farmers Merchants Bancshares to buy it.
The correlation of Farmers Merchants is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Farmers Merchants moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Farmers Merchants moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Farmers Merchants can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Farmers Pink Sheet
Farmers Merchants financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers Merchants security.