Farmers Merchants Bancshares Stock Price Prediction
| FMBN Stock | USD 30.25 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Farmers Merchants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmers Merchants Bancshares from the perspective of Farmers Merchants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmers Merchants to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Farmers Merchants after-hype prediction price | USD 30.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Farmers |
Farmers Merchants After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmers Merchants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmers Merchants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Farmers Merchants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmers Merchants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmers Merchants' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmers Merchants' historical news coverage. Farmers Merchants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.90 and 31.60, respectively. We have considered Farmers Merchants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmers Merchants is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmers Merchants is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmers Merchants Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmers Merchants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmers Merchants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmers Merchants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.25 | 30.25 | 0.00 |
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Farmers Merchants Hype Timeline
Farmers Merchants is currently traded for 30.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Farmers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Farmers Merchants is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.25. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmers Merchants last dividend was issued on the 21st of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Farmers Merchants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Farmers Merchants Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmers Merchants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmers Merchants' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmers Merchants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmers Merchants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLOI | Previsto International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLBB | Global Quest | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SOHI | Sortis Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VHLD | Vector 21 Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WSFGQ | WSB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VMTG | Victor Mining Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.70 | (10.00) | 78.48 | |
| OFSI | Omni Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ODMO | Odimo Inc | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RBRI | RBR Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRPS | Trip Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Farmers Merchants Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Farmers Merchants Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Farmers Merchants stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmers Merchants Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmers Merchants based on analysis of Farmers Merchants hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmers Merchants's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmers Merchants's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Farmers Merchants
The number of cover stories for Farmers Merchants depends on current market conditions and Farmers Merchants' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmers Merchants is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmers Merchants' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Farmers Pink Sheet
Farmers Merchants financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers Merchants security.