Fomento Economico Mexicano Stock Price Prediction
| FMX Stock | USD 87.28 0.65 0.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.0176 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0595 | Wall Street Target Price 116.1173 |
Using Fomento Economico hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fomento Economico Mexicano from the perspective of Fomento Economico response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fomento Economico using Fomento Economico's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fomento using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fomento Economico's stock price.
Fomento Economico Short Interest
An investor who is long Fomento Economico may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fomento Economico and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fomento Economico with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 102.8567 | Short Percent 0.001 | Short Ratio 1.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 858.6 K | 50 Day MA 86.746 |
Fomento Economico Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fomento Economico's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fomento. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fomento can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fomento Economico Mexicano. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fomento Economico's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fomento Economico.
Fomento Economico Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
Fomento Economico's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fomento Economico Mexicano stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fomento Economico's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fomento Economico stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fomento Economico's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fomento Economico to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fomento because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fomento Economico after-hype prediction price | USD 86.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fomento contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fomento Economico Mexicano will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Fomento Economico trading at USD 87.28, that is roughly USD 0.0202 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fomento Economico's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fomento Economico Mexicano options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Fomento |
Fomento Economico After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fomento Economico at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fomento Economico or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fomento Economico, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fomento Economico Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fomento Economico's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fomento Economico's historical news coverage. Fomento Economico's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.32 and 88.64, respectively. We have considered Fomento Economico's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fomento Economico is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fomento Economico is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fomento Economico Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fomento Economico is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fomento Economico backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fomento Economico, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.65 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
87.28 | 86.98 | 0.08 |
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Fomento Economico Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Fomento Economico is traded for 87.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Fomento is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 86.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Fomento Economico is about 234.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 87.17. The company reported the last year's revenue of 702.69 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 65.69 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 307.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Fomento Economico Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fomento Economico Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fomento Economico's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fomento Economico's future price movements. Getting to know how Fomento Economico's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fomento Economico may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.27 | (3.28) | 9.81 | |
| SAM | Boston Beer | (7.81) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.30 | (2.78) | 9.85 | |
| KNBWY | Kirin Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.23 | (2.61) | 5.89 | |
| CABGY | Carlsberg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.55 | (3.33) | 7.09 | |
| TAP | Molson Coors Brewing | (0.44) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.61 | (2.41) | 10.66 | |
| CCU | Compania Cervecerias Unidas | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.25 | (0.03) | 1.76 | (1.94) | 6.40 | |
| BUD | Anheuser Busch Inbev | (0.22) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.42 | (2.65) | 8.01 | |
| HEINY | Heineken NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.45 | (2.05) | 6.23 | |
| STBFY | Suntory Beverage Food | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.61 | (1.83) | 5.40 | |
| BUDFF | Anheuser Busch InBev SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.15 | (3.03) | 9.18 | |
| TSGTY | Tsingtao Brewery Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.77 | (0.02) | 5.75 | (7.22) | 22.02 | |
| TAP-A | Molson Coors Beverage | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.89 | (0.03) | 1.85 | (2.66) | 7.89 |
Fomento Economico Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fomento price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fomento using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fomento charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fomento Economico Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fomento Economico stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fomento Economico Mexicano, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fomento Economico based on analysis of Fomento Economico hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fomento Economico's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fomento Economico's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0327 | 0.0243 | 0.0219 | 0.0139 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.99 | 1.04 |
Story Coverage note for Fomento Economico
The number of cover stories for Fomento Economico depends on current market conditions and Fomento Economico's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fomento Economico is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fomento Economico's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fomento Economico Short Properties
Fomento Economico's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fomento Economico's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fomento Economico Mexicano often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fomento Economico's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fomento Economico's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 191.8 B |
Additional Tools for Fomento Stock Analysis
When running Fomento Economico's price analysis, check to measure Fomento Economico's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fomento Economico is operating at the current time. Most of Fomento Economico's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fomento Economico's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fomento Economico's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fomento Economico to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.