Federal National Mortgage Stock Price Patterns
| FNMAN Stock | USD 19.63 0.40 2.08% |
Momentum 20
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate trading signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Federal National based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Federal National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal National Mortgage from the perspective of Federal National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Federal National. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal National to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal National after-hype prediction price | USD 19.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Federal National After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Federal National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal National's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal National's historical news coverage. Federal National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.76 and 22.50, respectively. We have considered Federal National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal National is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal National Mortgage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal National OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Federal National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.63 | 19.63 | 0.00 |
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Federal National Hype Timeline
Federal National Mortgage is currently traded for 19.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.1. Federal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Federal National is about 996.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.53. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 395.0. Federal National Mortgage last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Federal National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federal National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal National's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMCC | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.33 | (7.76) | 27.10 | |
| CMSQF | Computershare Limited | (1.44) | 6 per month | 5.43 | 0.01 | 9.52 | (9.96) | 24.34 | |
| SPXCF | Singapore Exchange Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.27 | 0.04 | 5.92 | (6.20) | 23.33 | |
| CGXYY | China Galaxy Securities | (1.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | (1.20) | 10.27 | |
| PBNNF | PT Bank Negara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 22.93 | 0.16 | 92.86 | (48.78) | 186.32 | |
| FCBBF | FinecoBank Banca Fineco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.58 | |
| EGFEF | Eurobank Ergasias Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 3.02 | 0.00 | 43.33 | |
| AMDUF | Amundi SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | |
| TKGBY | Turkiye Garanti Bankasi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.08 | 6.58 | (4.89) | 17.06 | |
| AMIGY | Admiral Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.87 | (2.33) | 8.15 |
Federal National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federal National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federal National Mortgage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal National based on analysis of Federal National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal National's related companies.
Pair Trading with Federal National
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Federal National position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federal National will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Federal OTC Stock
| 0.92 | FMCCT | Federal Home Loan | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | FNMAS | Federal National Mortgage | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | FNMAT | Federal National Mortgage | PairCorr |
Moving against Federal OTC Stock
| 0.64 | COOP | Mr Cooper Group | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | WNC | Wabash National Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | RKT | Rocket Companies | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Federal National could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Federal National when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Federal National - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Federal National Mortgage to buy it.
The correlation of Federal National is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Federal National moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Federal National Mortgage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Federal National can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Federal OTC Stock
Federal National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal National security.