Freedom 100 Emerging Etf Price Prediction
| FRDM Etf | USD 59.16 0.62 1.04% |
Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Freedom 100 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freedom 100 Emerging from the perspective of Freedom 100 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freedom 100 using Freedom 100's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freedom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freedom 100's stock price.
Freedom 100 Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Freedom 100's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freedom 100 Emerging stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freedom 100's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freedom 100 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freedom 100's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Freedom 100 to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Freedom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Freedom 100 after-hype prediction price | USD 59.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freedom contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freedom 100 Emerging will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0188% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Freedom 100 trading at USD 59.16, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freedom 100's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freedom 100 Emerging options at the current volatility level of 0.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Freedom 100 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freedom 100's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freedom 100 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freedom 100 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freedom 100 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Freedom 100, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freedom 100 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freedom 100's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freedom 100's historical news coverage. Freedom 100's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.66 and 60.92, respectively. We have considered Freedom 100's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freedom 100 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freedom 100 Emerging is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freedom 100 Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Freedom 100 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freedom 100 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freedom 100, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.13 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.16 | 59.79 | 0.02 |
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Freedom 100 Hype Timeline
Freedom 100 Emerging is currently traded for 59.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Freedom is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is anticipated to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Freedom 100 is about 824.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.21. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Freedom 100 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Freedom 100 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freedom 100's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freedom 100's future price movements. Getting to know how Freedom 100's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freedom 100 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DGS | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.40 | 0.14 | 1.06 | (1.02) | 2.33 | |
| DTD | WisdomTree Total Dividend | 0.49 | 2 per month | 0.45 | (0.01) | 0.92 | (0.83) | 2.79 | |
| EEMA | iShares MSCI Emerging | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.62 | 0.08 | 1.51 | (1.17) | 4.08 | |
| KBE | SPDR SP Bank | 0.57 | 5 per month | 0.96 | 0.08 | 2.74 | (1.47) | 7.08 | |
| ICOW | Pacer Developed Markets | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.58 | 0.13 | 1.32 | (1.02) | 3.19 | |
| EWP | iShares MSCI Spain | 0.20 | 4 per month | 0.64 | 0.15 | 1.48 | (1.50) | 3.29 | |
| GEM | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.49 | 0.13 | 1.45 | (1.08) | 3.27 | |
| RWJ | Invesco SP SmallCap | 0.12 | 18 per month | 0.91 | 0.02 | 2.07 | (1.75) | 5.47 | |
| PKW | Invesco BuyBack Achievers | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.77 | (0.04) | 1.30 | (1.39) | 3.33 | |
| GLOV | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.41 | (0.03) | 0.75 | (0.64) | 2.51 |
Freedom 100 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freedom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freedom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freedom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Freedom 100 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Freedom 100 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Freedom 100 Emerging, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freedom 100 based on analysis of Freedom 100 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Freedom 100's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Freedom 100's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Freedom 100 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Understanding Freedom 100 Emerging requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Freedom's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Freedom 100's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Freedom 100's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freedom 100's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freedom 100 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Freedom 100's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.