Fresh2 Group Stock Price Prediction
| FRES Stock | 1.07 0.07 6.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.70) |
Using Fresh2 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fresh2 Group from the perspective of Fresh2 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fresh2 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fresh2 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fresh2 after-hype prediction price | USD 1.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fresh2 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fresh2's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fresh2 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fresh2 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fresh2 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fresh2, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fresh2 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fresh2's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fresh2's historical news coverage. Fresh2's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 9.98, respectively. We have considered Fresh2's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fresh2 is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fresh2 Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fresh2 Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fresh2 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fresh2 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fresh2, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 8.92 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.07 | 1.06 | 0.93 |
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Fresh2 Hype Timeline
Fresh2 Group is currently traded for 1.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Fresh2 is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.93%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Fresh2 is about 17840.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.04. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fresh2 Group recorded a loss per share of 72.68. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 10th of July 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Fresh2 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fresh2 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fresh2's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fresh2's future price movements. Getting to know how Fresh2's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fresh2 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECPG | Encore Capital Group | (0.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.57 | (2.42) | 9.26 | |
| KEY-PI | KeyCorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.14) | 1.40 | (1.02) | 4.04 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 4.12 | (0.25) | 9.98 | |
| KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.42 | (2.69) | 18.04 | |
| JUVF | Juniata Valley Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.55 | 0.02 | 3.51 | (4.61) | 11.89 | |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | 0.55 | 6 per month | 1.65 | 0.11 | 3.88 | (3.32) | 14.43 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.83 | (0.02) | 2.46 | (3.01) | 17.87 |
Fresh2 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fresh2 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fresh2 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fresh2 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fresh2 Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fresh2 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fresh2 Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fresh2 based on analysis of Fresh2 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fresh2's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fresh2's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 0.33 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 1.66 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 334.69 | 20.67 | 18.6 | 17.67 |
Story Coverage note for Fresh2
The number of cover stories for Fresh2 depends on current market conditions and Fresh2's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fresh2 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fresh2's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fresh2 Short Properties
Fresh2's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fresh2's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fresh2 Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fresh2's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fresh2's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 191.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 269 K |
Additional Tools for Fresh2 Stock Analysis
When running Fresh2's price analysis, check to measure Fresh2's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh2 is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh2's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh2's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh2's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh2 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.