Defense And Aerospace Fund Price Prediction
| FSDAX Fund | USD 28.15 0.35 1.26% |
Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defense And hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defense And Aerospace from the perspective of Defense And response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Defense And to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Defense because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Defense And after-hype prediction price | USD 27.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Defense |
Defense And After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defense And at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defense And or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Defense And, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defense And Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defense And's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defense And's historical news coverage. Defense And's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.58 and 29.10, respectively. We have considered Defense And's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defense And is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defense And Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defense And Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Defense And is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defense And backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defense And, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.26 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.15 | 27.84 | 0.14 |
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Defense And Hype Timeline
Defense And Aerospace is currently traded for 28.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Defense is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Defense And is about 137.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.27. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Defense And Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Defense And Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defense And's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defense And's future price movements. Getting to know how Defense And's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defense And may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRESX | Fidelity Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.15 | (1.53) | 3.37 | |
| FVDFX | Fidelity Value Discovery | (0.19) | 1 per month | 0.24 | 0.13 | 1.32 | (0.82) | 4.08 | |
| CSRIX | Cohen And Steers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.01 | (1.73) | 3.72 | |
| FSRPX | Retailing Portfolio Retailing | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.81 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (1.41) | 4.91 | |
| TVIIX | Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | (0) | 1.04 | (1.17) | 2.90 | |
| FKASX | Federated Kaufmann Small | (0.78) | 1 per month | 0.80 | 0.10 | 1.82 | (1.73) | 28.35 | |
| JOBYX | Jpmorgan Smartretirement Blend | 8.20 | 4 per month | 0.51 | (0.02) | 0.95 | (0.93) | 2.48 | |
| FBLAX | Franklin Balanced Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.11 | (0.04) | 0.71 | (0.47) | 1.33 | |
| CCALX | Conestoga Small Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.90 | 0.03 | 2.04 | (1.69) | 8.99 | |
| PNSAX | Putnam Small Cap | 1.82 | 1 per month | 1.29 | (0) | 2.19 | (2.32) | 5.92 |
Defense And Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defense price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defense using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defense charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Defense And Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Defense And stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Defense And Aerospace, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Defense And based on analysis of Defense And hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Defense And's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Defense And's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
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Other Information on Investing in Defense Mutual Fund
Defense And financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defense Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defense with respect to the benefits of owning Defense And security.
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