H B Fuller Stock Price Patterns
| FUL Stock | USD 60.10 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5799 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.1151 | Wall Street Target Price 71.7143 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.2107 |
Using H B hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of H B Fuller from the perspective of H B response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards H B using H B's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FUL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of H B's stock price.
H B Short Interest
An investor who is long H B may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about H B and may potentially protect profits, hedge H B with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 58.581 | Short Percent 0.0454 | Short Ratio 3.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 59.9208 |
H B Fuller Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to H B's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FUL. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FUL can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around H B Fuller. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of H B's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about H B.
H B Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
H B's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of H B Fuller stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if H B's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that H B stock will not fluctuate a lot when H B's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in H B to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FUL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
H B after-hype prediction price | USD 59.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FUL contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that H B Fuller will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With H B trading at USD 60.1, that is roughly USD 0.0237 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating H B's daily price movement you should consider acquiring H B Fuller options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out H B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of H B's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
H B After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of H B at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in H B or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of H B, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
H B Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting H B's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on H B's historical news coverage. H B's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.07 and 61.45, respectively. We have considered H B's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
H B is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of H B Fuller is based on 3 months time horizon.
H B Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as H B is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading H B backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with H B, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.69 | 0.34 | 0.09 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.10 | 59.76 | 0.57 |
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H B Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January H B Fuller is traded for 60.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. FUL is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 59.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 45.31%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on H B is about 173.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.19. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. H B Fuller has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.23. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of August 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out H B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.H B Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to H B's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict H B's future price movements. Getting to know how H B's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how H B may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVNT | Avient Corp | (0.31) | 20 per month | 1.41 | 0.06 | 3.41 | (2.45) | 8.87 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | (0.53) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.29 | (5.04) | 10.09 | |
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 6.97 | 8 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 3.03 | (2.98) | 10.75 | |
| CBT | Cabot | (0.23) | 11 per month | 1.89 | (0.01) | 3.72 | (2.71) | 8.68 | |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | (0.19) | 10 per month | 2.49 | 0.07 | 3.38 | (2.84) | 30.19 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | (0.63) | 9 per month | 1.77 | (0.03) | 2.93 | (2.57) | 9.55 | |
| USLM | United States Lime | 1.88 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.08 | (3.63) | 8.80 | |
| OLN | Olin Corporation | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.72 | (4.57) | 12.44 | |
| CENX | Century Aluminum | (0.03) | 10 per month | 3.53 | 0.18 | 6.70 | (6.26) | 27.76 | |
| SMG | Scotts Miracle Gro | 2.73 | 33 per month | 1.64 | 0.09 | 3.19 | (3.22) | 7.91 |
H B Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FUL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FUL using various technical indicators. When you analyze FUL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About H B Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of H B stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as H B Fuller, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of H B based on analysis of H B hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to H B's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to H B's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0104 | 0.0158 | 0.015 | 0.0183 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.19 | 0.92 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out H B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of H B. Market participants price FUL higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive H B assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Dividend Share 0.928 | Earnings Share 2.75 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
H B Fuller's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on FUL's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate H B's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since H B's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between H B's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if H B is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, H B's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.