Greif Bros Stock Price Patterns
| GEF Stock | USD 70.62 0.52 0.74% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.912 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6633 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.152 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.765 | Wall Street Target Price 79.6 |
Using Greif Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greif Bros from the perspective of Greif Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Greif Bros using Greif Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Greif using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Greif Bros' stock price.
Greif Bros Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Greif Bros' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Greif. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Greif Bros stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 62.8288 | Short Percent 0.027 | Short Ratio 3.44 | Shares Short Prior Month 900.6 K | 50 Day MA 68.425 |
Greif Bros Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Greif Bros' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Greif. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Greif can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Greif Bros. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Greif Bros' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Greif Bros.
Greif Bros Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Greif Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Greif Bros stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Greif Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Greif Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Greif Bros' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greif Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greif because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greif Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 70.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Greif contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Greif Bros will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Greif Bros trading at USD 70.62, that is roughly USD 0.0185 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Greif Bros' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Greif Bros options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Greif Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greif Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greif Bros After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greif Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greif Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greif Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greif Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greif Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greif Bros' historical news coverage. Greif Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.38 and 72.18, respectively. We have considered Greif Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greif Bros is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greif Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greif Bros Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greif Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greif Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.40 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
70.62 | 70.78 | 0.23 |
|
Greif Bros Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Greif Bros is traded for 70.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Greif is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 70.78 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Greif Bros is about 1284.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.29 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 16.47 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 953.93 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Greif Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greif Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greif Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greif Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Greif Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greif Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SON | Sonoco Products | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.20 | 3.18 | (1.66) | 6.16 | |
| YETI | YETI Holdings | (0.37) | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.15 | 4.49 | (3.10) | 12.03 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | (1.56) | 8 per month | 0.41 | 0.31 | 5.33 | (1.91) | 11.28 | |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear | 0.99 | 11 per month | 1.89 | (0.0002) | 3.71 | (3.26) | 10.24 | |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.79 | (3.34) | 17.11 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | (0.27) | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.01 | 5.16 | (2.65) | 11.56 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | (1.21) | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.01 | 4.56 | (3.08) | 10.63 | |
| PRKS | United Parks Resorts | 0.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.60 | (5.35) | 25.95 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 1.05 | 7 per month | 1.34 | 0.21 | 5.08 | (3.03) | 13.40 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.04) | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.16 | 5.78 | (3.60) | 19.53 |
Greif Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Greif Bros Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greif Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Bros, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif Bros based on analysis of Greif Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greif Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greif Bros's related companies. | 2010 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0357 | 0.041 | 0.0247 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.66 | 0.68 | 0.8 |
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Complementary Tools for Greif Stock analysis
When running Greif Bros' price analysis, check to measure Greif Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greif Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Greif Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greif Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greif Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greif Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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