Greggs Plc Stock Price Prediction
| GGGSF Stock | USD 23.40 0.05 0.21% |
Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Greggs Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greggs plc from the perspective of Greggs Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Greggs Plc to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Greggs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Greggs Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 23.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Greggs |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greggs Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greggs Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greggs Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greggs Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Greggs Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greggs Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greggs Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greggs Plc's historical news coverage. Greggs Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.28 and 26.52, respectively. We have considered Greggs Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greggs Plc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greggs plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greggs Plc Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greggs Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greggs Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greggs Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.40 | 23.40 | 0.00 |
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Greggs Plc Hype Timeline
Greggs plc is currently traded for 23.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Greggs is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greggs Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.40. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Greggs Plc was currently reported as 3.86. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. Greggs plc had 10:1 split on the 18th of May 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Greggs Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Greggs Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greggs Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greggs Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Greggs Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greggs Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OCDDY | Ocado Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.14 | 0.03 | 4.53 | (5.76) | 26.10 | |
| PRRFY | Premier Foods Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.31 | (5.77) | 18.74 | |
| BMRRY | BM European Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.14 | (3.73) | 27.83 | |
| BMRPF | BM European Value | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.81 | (6.23) | 29.07 | |
| OCDGF | Ocado Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.27 | 0.03 | 8.81 | (5.68) | 36.89 | |
| NNWWF | The North West | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | (0) | 1.85 | (1.91) | 11.70 | |
| ITOEF | Ito En | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.60 | (4.08) | 11.02 |
Greggs Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greggs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greggs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greggs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Greggs Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Greggs Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greggs plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greggs Plc based on analysis of Greggs Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Greggs Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greggs Plc's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Greggs Plc
The number of cover stories for Greggs Plc depends on current market conditions and Greggs Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greggs Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greggs Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Greggs Pink Sheet analysis
When running Greggs Plc's price analysis, check to measure Greggs Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greggs Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Greggs Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greggs Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greggs Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greggs Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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