Global Hard Assets Fund Price Prediction

GHAYX Fund  USD 41.83  0.07  0.17%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Global Hard's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Global Hard, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Global Hard's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Hard Assets, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Global Hard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Hard Assets from the perspective of Global Hard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Hard to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Global Hard after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Global Hard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Hard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2440.1646.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.6941.6242.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.7441.8141.87
Details

Global Hard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Global Hard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Hard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Global Hard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Global Hard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Global Hard's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Hard's historical news coverage. Global Hard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.91 and 42.75, respectively. We have considered Global Hard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
41.83
41.83
After-hype Price
42.75
Upside
Global Hard is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Hard Assets is based on 3 months time horizon.

Global Hard Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Global Hard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Hard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Hard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.92
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.83
41.83
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Global Hard Hype Timeline

Global Hard Assets is currently traded for 41.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Global is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Global Hard is about 46000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.83. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Hard Assets last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Global Hard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Global Hard Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Global Hard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Hard's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Hard's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Hard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMBAXUnconstrained Emerging Markets 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.40) 0.56 (0.56) 1.67 
EMBYXUnconstrained Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.41) 0.56 (0.55) 1.67 
EMBUXUnconstrained Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42) 0.56 (0.56) 1.68 
EMRCXEmerging Markets Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.40 (1.64) 4.40 
EMRZXVaneck Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.42 (1.68) 4.38 
EMRYXEmerging Markets Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 1.42 (1.63) 4.40 
ENVIXVaneck Environmental Sustainability 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ENVAXVaneck Environmental Sustainability 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
INIVXInternational Investors Gold 0.00 0 per month 1.71 (0.04) 2.66 (2.65) 9.92 
INIYXInternational Investors Gold 0.00 0 per month 1.71 (0.04) 2.65 (2.70) 9.88 

Global Hard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Global Hard Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Global Hard stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Hard Assets, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Hard based on analysis of Global Hard hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Hard's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Hard's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Global Hard

The number of cover stories for Global Hard depends on current market conditions and Global Hard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Hard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Hard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Hard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Hard security.
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