Gourmet Provisions International Stock Price Patterns

GMPR Stock  USD 0.01  0  31.03%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Gourmet Provisions' share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gourmet Provisions, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gourmet Provisions' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gourmet Provisions and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gourmet Provisions' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gourmet Provisions International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gourmet Provisions hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gourmet Provisions International from the perspective of Gourmet Provisions response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gourmet Provisions to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gourmet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gourmet Provisions after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.007319  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Gourmet Provisions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0139.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0239.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
00.010.02
Details

Gourmet Provisions After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gourmet Provisions at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gourmet Provisions or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gourmet Provisions, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gourmet Provisions Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gourmet Provisions' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gourmet Provisions' historical news coverage. Gourmet Provisions' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 39.68, respectively. We have considered Gourmet Provisions' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
39.68
Upside
Gourmet Provisions is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gourmet Provisions is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gourmet Provisions Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gourmet Provisions is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gourmet Provisions backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gourmet Provisions, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  3.55 
39.67
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
21.98 
0.00  
Notes

Gourmet Provisions Hype Timeline

Gourmet Provisions is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Gourmet is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.007319 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 21.98%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 3.55%. The volatility of related hype on Gourmet Provisions is about 994235.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Gourmet Provisions International currently holds 840.43 M in liabilities. Gourmet Provisions has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Gourmet Provisions until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gourmet Provisions' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gourmet Provisions sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gourmet to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gourmet Provisions' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Gourmet Provisions Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gourmet Provisions Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gourmet Provisions' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gourmet Provisions' future price movements. Getting to know how Gourmet Provisions' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gourmet Provisions may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YUKAYuka Group 0.00 0 per month 8.28  0.19  22.97 (18.00) 95.60 
DIAAFDiamant Art Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SSOKSunstock 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  13.33  0.00  466.02 
SSUNFSIGNA Sports United 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
COFECoffeesmiths Collective 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GTEHGentech Holdings 0.00 0 per month 33.57  0.18  284.62 (90.00) 4,998 
ACGXAlliance Creative Group(0.04)1 per month 10.59  0.03  18.76 (25.79) 66.53 
PTTLPure Transit Technologies 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RIBSSouthern Concepts Restaurant 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
PLTXFPlantx Life 0.00 0 per month 17.12  0.11  75.00 (39.47) 155.56 

Gourmet Provisions Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gourmet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gourmet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gourmet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gourmet Provisions Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gourmet Provisions stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gourmet Provisions International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gourmet Provisions based on analysis of Gourmet Provisions hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gourmet Provisions's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gourmet Provisions's related companies.

Pair Trading with Gourmet Provisions

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gourmet Provisions position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gourmet Provisions will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Gourmet Pink Sheet

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Moving against Gourmet Pink Sheet

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  0.52CMG Chipotle Mexican GrillPairCorr
  0.52SLB Schlumberger NVPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gourmet Provisions could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gourmet Provisions when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gourmet Provisions - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gourmet Provisions International to buy it.
The correlation of Gourmet Provisions is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gourmet Provisions moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gourmet Provisions moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gourmet Provisions can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Gourmet Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Gourmet Provisions' price analysis, check to measure Gourmet Provisions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gourmet Provisions is operating at the current time. Most of Gourmet Provisions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gourmet Provisions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gourmet Provisions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gourmet Provisions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.