Guidemark Smallmid Cap Fund Price Patterns
| GMSMX Fund | USD 20.56 0.21 1.01% |
Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Guidemark(r) Small/mid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guidemark Smallmid Cap from the perspective of Guidemark(r) Small/mid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guidemark(r) Small/mid to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guidemark(r) because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guidemark(r) Small/mid after-hype prediction price | USD 20.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guidemark(r) |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guidemark(r) Small/mid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guidemark(r) Small/mid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Guidemark(r) Small/mid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guidemark(r) Small/mid's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guidemark(r) Small/mid's historical news coverage. Guidemark(r) Small/mid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.30 and 21.82, respectively. We have considered Guidemark(r) Small/mid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guidemark(r) Small/mid is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guidemark Smallmid Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Guidemark(r) Small/mid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guidemark(r) Small/mid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guidemark(r) Small/mid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 1.09 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.56 | 20.56 | 0.00 |
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Guidemark(r) Small/mid Hype Timeline
Guidemark Smallmid Cap is currently traded for 20.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.09. Guidemark(r) is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guidemark(r) Small/mid is about 26.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.47. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.95. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guidemark Smallmid Cap last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Guidemark(r) Small/mid Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guidemark(r) Small/mid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guidemark(r) Small/mid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guidemark(r) Small/mid's future price movements. Getting to know how Guidemark(r) Small/mid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guidemark(r) Small/mid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLRBX | James Balanced Golden | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.71 | (0.62) | 4.81 | |
| FGDIX | Fidelity Advisor Gold | 0.10 | 4 per month | 2.57 | 0.17 | 4.53 | (4.22) | 10.21 | |
| FRGOX | Franklin Gold Precious | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | 0.21 | 4.32 | (4.02) | 10.76 | |
| MXKJX | Great West Goldman Sachs | 6.36 | 2 per month | 0.64 | 0.09 | 1.60 | (1.25) | 3.20 | |
| OGMCX | Oppenheimer Gold Special | (39.75) | 4 per month | 2.50 | 0.17 | 4.29 | (3.95) | 9.60 | |
| XGGNX | Gamco Global Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.93 | (1.17) | 3.80 | |
| USERX | Gold And Precious | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.51 | 0.20 | 4.66 | (3.75) | 9.83 |
Guidemark(r) Small/mid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guidemark(r) price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guidemark(r) using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guidemark(r) charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guidemark(r) Small/mid Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guidemark(r) Small/mid stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guidemark Smallmid Cap, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guidemark(r) Small/mid based on analysis of Guidemark(r) Small/mid hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guidemark(r) Small/mid's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guidemark(r) Small/mid's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Guidemark(r) Mutual Fund
Guidemark(r) Small/mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidemark(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidemark(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidemark(r) Small/mid security.
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