Global Net Lease, Stock Price Prediction
| GNL Stock | USD 7.56 0.20 2.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.33 | Wall Street Target Price 9.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.663 |
Using Global Net hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Net Lease, from the perspective of Global Net response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Global Net Lease, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Net's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Net Lease,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Net's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Net.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Net to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Net after-hype prediction price | USD 7.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Global Net After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Net at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Net or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Net, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Net Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Net's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Net's historical news coverage. Global Net's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.07 and 8.69, respectively. We have considered Global Net's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Net is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Net Lease, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Net Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Net is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Net backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Net, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.31 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.56 | 7.38 | 0.27 |
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Global Net Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Global Net Lease, is traded for 7.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Global is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Global Net is about 5822.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 515.07 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (211.91 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 305.61 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Global Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Net Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Net's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Net's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Net's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Net may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.29) | 7 per month | 2.41 | 0.02 | 5.78 | (4.27) | 15.24 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.12 | 1.94 | (1.58) | 8.00 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.22 | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (1.39) | 19.07 | |
| RTLPP | Necessity Retail REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.04) | 2.31 | (1.89) | 5.71 | |
| RTL | Pacer Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.10 | 4.13 | (3.45) | 25.27 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.44 | 0.04 | 3.10 | (2.74) | 22.56 | |
| SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.04 | 2.34 | (1.72) | 6.41 | |
| NXDT | NexPoint Strategic Opportunities | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.90 | (0.02) | 4.22 | (3.34) | 11.44 | |
| BNL | Broadstone Net Lease | (0.40) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.59 | (1.71) | 5.03 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | 0.70 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.05 | 2.55 | (1.97) | 7.70 | |
| CTO-PA | CTO Realty Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | (0.04) | 2.11 | (2.43) | 7.56 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.0003 | 3.54 | (2.22) | 10.64 |
Global Net Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Net Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Net stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Net Lease,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Net based on analysis of Global Net hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Net's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Net's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Global Net
The number of cover stories for Global Net depends on current market conditions and Global Net's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Net is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Net's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Net Short Properties
Global Net's future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Net's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Net Lease, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.6 M |
Check out Global Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Net. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Net listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.33 | Dividend Share 1.258 | Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share 3.524 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.663 |
The market value of Global Net Lease, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Net's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Net's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Net's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Net's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Net's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Net is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Net's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.