Gladstone Commercial Stock Price Patterns
| GOOD Stock | USD 11.67 0.14 1.21% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.15 | Wall Street Target Price 12.5 |
Using Gladstone Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gladstone Commercial from the perspective of Gladstone Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gladstone Commercial using Gladstone Commercial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gladstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gladstone Commercial's stock price.
Gladstone Commercial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gladstone Commercial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gladstone. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gladstone Commercial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 12.5303 | Short Percent 0.0516 | Short Ratio 5.49 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 11.1524 |
Gladstone Commercial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gladstone Commercial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gladstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gladstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gladstone Commercial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gladstone Commercial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gladstone Commercial.
Gladstone Commercial Implied Volatility | 1.51 |
Gladstone Commercial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gladstone Commercial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gladstone Commercial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gladstone Commercial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gladstone Commercial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gladstone Commercial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gladstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gladstone Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 11.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Gladstone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Gladstone Commercial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0944% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Gladstone Commercial trading at USD 11.67, that is roughly USD 0.011 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Gladstone Commercial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Gladstone Commercial options at the current volatility level of 1.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Gladstone Commercial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gladstone Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gladstone Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gladstone Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gladstone Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gladstone Commercial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gladstone Commercial's historical news coverage. Gladstone Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.59 and 12.77, respectively. We have considered Gladstone Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gladstone Commercial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gladstone Commercial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gladstone Commercial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gladstone Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gladstone Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gladstone Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.67 | 11.68 | 0.09 |
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Gladstone Commercial Hype Timeline
Gladstone Commercial is currently traded for 11.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Gladstone is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Gladstone Commercial is about 2972.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.68. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 149.39 M. Net Income was 24.04 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120.2 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Gladstone Commercial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gladstone Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gladstone Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gladstone Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Gladstone Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gladstone Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | (0.08) | 6 per month | 1.29 | 0.08 | 3.16 | (2.48) | 7.40 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.90 | 0.09 | 1.86 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| UHT | Universal Health Realty | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.91 | 0.1 | 2.05 | (1.56) | 5.05 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | 0.25 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.12 | 2.22 | (2.32) | 33.48 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | 0.10 | 8 per month | 0.82 | 0.15 | 1.87 | (1.69) | 5.11 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.11 | 2.62 | (1.75) | 6.92 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.66 | (3.02) | 11.70 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.31) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.14 | 2.36 | (2.16) | 8.51 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | (0.19) | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.12 | 3.31 | (2.24) | 9.71 |
Gladstone Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gladstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gladstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gladstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gladstone Commercial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gladstone Commercial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gladstone Commercial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gladstone Commercial based on analysis of Gladstone Commercial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gladstone Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gladstone Commercial's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0926 | 0.0833 | 0.0774 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.54 | 5.22 | 10.16 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Gladstone Stock analysis
When running Gladstone Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Gladstone Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gladstone Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Gladstone Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gladstone Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gladstone Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gladstone Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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