General Mills (Germany) Price Prediction
GRM Stock | 62.13 1.23 2.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
25
Oversold | Overbought |
Using General Mills hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Mills from the perspective of General Mills response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in General Mills to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying General because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
General Mills after-hype prediction price | EUR 62.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
General |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Mills' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Mills After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Mills at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Mills or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Mills, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
General Mills Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Mills' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Mills' historical news coverage. General Mills' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 61.02 and 63.24, respectively. We have considered General Mills' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General Mills is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Mills is based on 3 months time horizon.
General Mills Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Mills is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Mills backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Mills, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.13 | 62.13 | 0.00 |
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General Mills Hype Timeline
General Mills is currently traded for 62.13on XETRA Stock Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. General is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on General Mills is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.13. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of General Mills was currently reported as 17.15. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out General Mills Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy General Stock please use our How to Invest in General Mills guide.General Mills Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Mills' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Mills' future price movements. Getting to know how General Mills' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Mills may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
JJ1 | JJ SNACK FOODS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | (0.1) | 1.33 | (1.34) | 5.69 | |
XSFA | SENECA FOODS A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.10 | 4.13 | (4.55) | 16.74 | |
PN1 | PENN NATL GAMING | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.83 | 0.02 | 4.09 | (3.51) | 11.98 | |
4H7 | TROPHY GAMES DEV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.21 | (3.09) | 11.70 | |
TF7A | Tyson Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | (0.02) | 3.86 | (2.18) | 8.38 | |
CAO | CONAGRA FOODS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.55 | (2.29) | 10.82 | |
13O | OURGAME INTHOLDL 00005 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
07M | CN MODERN DAIRY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.82 | 0.11 | 5.82 | (4.15) | 20.53 |
General Mills Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About General Mills Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of General Mills stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Mills, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of General Mills based on analysis of General Mills hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to General Mills's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to General Mills's related companies.
Story Coverage note for General Mills
The number of cover stories for General Mills depends on current market conditions and General Mills' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Mills is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Mills' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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General Mills Short Properties
General Mills' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Mills' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Mills often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Mills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Mills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 612.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 819.2 M |
Additional Tools for General Stock Analysis
When running General Mills' price analysis, check to measure General Mills' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Mills is operating at the current time. Most of General Mills' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Mills' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Mills' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Mills to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.