Us Global Investors Stock Price Prediction

GROW Stock  USD 2.49  0.06  2.47%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of US Global's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling US Global, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of US Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of US Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from US Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with US Global Investors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting US Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.56)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.31)
Using US Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of US Global Investors from the perspective of US Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in US Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GROW because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

US Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out US Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.322.483.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.262.423.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.382.452.52
Details

US Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of US Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in US Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of US Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

US Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting US Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on US Global's historical news coverage. US Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.33 and 3.65, respectively. We have considered US Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.49
2.49
After-hype Price
3.65
Upside
US Global is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of US Global Investors is based on 3 months time horizon.

US Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as US Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading US Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with US Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.21
 0.00  
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.49
2.49
0.00 
4,033  
Notes

US Global Hype Timeline

US Global Investors is currently traded for 2.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GROW is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on US Global is about 9075.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.49. About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. US Global Investors last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of March 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out US Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

US Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to US Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict US Global's future price movements. Getting to know how US Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how US Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GAINGladstone Investment 0.21 9 per month 1.13  0.02  1.76 (1.94) 6.95 
PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate 0.06 8 per month 0.99 (0.12) 1.09 (1.13) 5.12 
HRZNHorizon Technology Finance(0.13)9 per month 0.00 (0.35) 0.88 (2.10) 5.65 
SCMStellus Capital Investment 0.01 8 per month 0.65 (0.11) 1.22 (1.29) 4.47 
PSECProspect Capital 0.12 7 per month 2.95 (0.06) 2.65 (2.01) 19.03 
IHTAInvesco High Income 0.02 1 per month 0.26 (0.19) 0.68 (0.28) 2.03 
VPVInvesco Pennsylvania Value(0.05)10 per month 0.31 (0.20) 0.64 (0.54) 1.91 
VTNInvesco Trust For(0.04)4 per month 0.44 (0.18) 0.71 (0.70) 2.25 
VKIInvesco Advantage MIT(0.03)1 per month 0.42 (0.23) 0.79 (0.66) 2.47 
FINSAngel Oak Financial 0.03 5 per month 0.52 (0.17) 1.01 (1.01) 2.75 
CBHCBH(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.51) 0.22 (0.22) 0.78 
CXHMFS Investment Grade(0.01)6 per month 0.42 (0.25) 0.62 (0.74) 2.10 
EOTEaton Vance National 0.08 6 per month 0.42 (0.26) 0.75 (0.87) 2.08 
FMNFederated Premier Municipal(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.26) 1.07 (1.49) 5.10 
WHFWhiteHorse Finance(0.14)9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.44 (1.54) 7.36 
GLADGladstone Capital 0.23 9 per month 0.31  0.18  1.64 (1.12) 4.12 
FDUSFidus Investment Corp 0.01 7 per month 0.45 (0.01) 1.20 (0.92) 3.15 
OXLCOxford Lane Capital(0.03)6 per month 0.51 (0.12) 1.00 (0.98) 3.24 

US Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GROW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GROW using various technical indicators. When you analyze GROW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About US Global Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of US Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as US Global Investors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of US Global based on analysis of US Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to US Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to US Global's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01870.02980.03470.0294
Price To Sales Ratio2.682.973.362.43

Story Coverage note for US Global

The number of cover stories for US Global depends on current market conditions and US Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that US Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about US Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

US Global Short Properties

US Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when US Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of US Global Investors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential US Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. US Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37 M

Additional Tools for GROW Stock Analysis

When running US Global's price analysis, check to measure US Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy US Global is operating at the current time. Most of US Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of US Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move US Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of US Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.