Guaranty Trust (UK) Price Prediction
| GTCO Stock | 1.85 0.07 3.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.639 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.306 |
Using Guaranty Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guaranty Trust Holding from the perspective of Guaranty Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guaranty Trust to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guaranty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guaranty Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 1.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guaranty |
Guaranty Trust After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guaranty Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guaranty Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guaranty Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guaranty Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guaranty Trust's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guaranty Trust's historical news coverage. Guaranty Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 3.88, respectively. We have considered Guaranty Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guaranty Trust is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guaranty Trust Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guaranty Trust Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guaranty Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guaranty Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guaranty Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.85 | 1.85 | 0.00 |
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Guaranty Trust Hype Timeline
Guaranty Trust Holding is currently traded for 1.85on London IL of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Guaranty is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guaranty Trust is about 191.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.91. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guaranty Trust Holding last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2022. The entity had 5:4 split on the 10th of June 2011. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Guaranty Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guaranty Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guaranty Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guaranty Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Guaranty Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guaranty Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTL | CleanTech Lithium plc | (0.50) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.33 | (6.49) | 29.23 | |
| LTI | Lindsell Train Investment | 10.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.35 | (3.07) | 9.26 | |
| 0ROZ | X FAB Silicon Foundries | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.33 | (4.77) | 23.44 | |
| CNC | Concurrent Technologies Plc | 1.50 | 3 per month | 1.60 | 0.11 | 6.07 | (2.76) | 14.76 | |
| ROAD | Roadside Real Estate | 0.40 | 1 per month | 1.12 | 0.24 | 4.25 | (2.33) | 11.00 | |
| 0QT5 | Gaztransport et Technigaz | (0.40) | 2 per month | 1.04 | (0.03) | 2.82 | (1.83) | 5.95 | |
| TRN | Trainline Plc | (3.60) | 2 per month | 1.01 | 0.14 | 4.46 | (1.99) | 14.62 |
Guaranty Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guaranty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guaranty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guaranty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guaranty Trust Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guaranty Trust stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guaranty Trust Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guaranty Trust based on analysis of Guaranty Trust hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guaranty Trust's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guaranty Trust's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guaranty Trust
The number of cover stories for Guaranty Trust depends on current market conditions and Guaranty Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guaranty Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guaranty Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guaranty Trust Short Properties
Guaranty Trust's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guaranty Trust's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guaranty Trust Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guaranty Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guaranty Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.3 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 98.7 B | |
| Shares Float | 425.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Guaranty Stock
Guaranty Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guaranty Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guaranty with respect to the benefits of owning Guaranty Trust security.