Gabelli Utility Closed Fund Price Prediction
| GUT Fund | USD 5.24 0.06 1.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gabelli Utility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gabelli Utility Closed from the perspective of Gabelli Utility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gabelli Utility to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gabelli because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gabelli Utility after-hype prediction price | USD 5.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gabelli |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Utility's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gabelli Utility After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gabelli Utility at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gabelli Utility or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Gabelli Utility, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gabelli Utility Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gabelli Utility's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gabelli Utility's historical news coverage. Gabelli Utility's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.81 and 6.71, respectively. We have considered Gabelli Utility's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gabelli Utility is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gabelli Utility Closed is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gabelli Utility Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Gabelli Utility is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gabelli Utility backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gabelli Utility, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.45 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.24 | 5.26 | 0.38 |
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Gabelli Utility Hype Timeline
On the 26th of November Gabelli Utility Closed is traded for 5.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Gabelli is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Gabelli Utility is about 2953.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.23. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.18 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 276.53 K with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.81 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Gabelli Utility Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gabelli Utility Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gabelli Utility's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gabelli Utility's future price movements. Getting to know how Gabelli Utility's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gabelli Utility may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCV | Gabelli Convertible And | (0.01) | 3 per month | 1.23 | 0 | 1.87 | (1.80) | 7.45 | |
| GAB | Gabelli Equity Trust | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.79 | (0.02) | 1.25 | (1.29) | 3.28 | |
| GRX | Gabelli Healthcare WellnessRx | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.11 | (1.47) | 3.30 | |
| GNT | GAMCO Natural Resources | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.96 | (0.07) | 1.71 | (1.98) | 5.15 | |
| IHTA | Invesco High Income | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.26 | (0.18) | 0.68 | (0.28) | 2.03 | |
| GGZ | Gabelli Global Small | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.63 | 0 | 1.20 | (1.26) | 4.71 | |
| IHIT | IHIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.07 | (1.18) | 2.70 | |
| JHS | John Hancock Income | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.38 | (0.22) | 0.78 | (0.61) | 3.04 | |
| GGT | Gabelli MultiMedia Mutual | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.80 | (0.11) | 1.27 | (1.22) | 4.80 | |
| NIE | Allianzgi Equity Convertible | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.59 | 0.01 | 1.44 | (1.52) | 4.02 | |
| CSQ | Calamos Strategic Total | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.66 | 0.01 | 1.33 | (1.29) | 3.77 |
Gabelli Utility Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gabelli price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gabelli using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gabelli charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gabelli Utility Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gabelli Utility stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gabelli Utility Closed, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gabelli Utility based on analysis of Gabelli Utility hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gabelli Utility's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gabelli Utility's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gabelli Utility
The number of cover stories for Gabelli Utility depends on current market conditions and Gabelli Utility's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gabelli Utility is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gabelli Utility's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Fund
Gabelli Utility financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Utility security.
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