Guardian Exploration Stock Price Prediction
| GXUSF Stock | USD 0.18 0.02 12.50% |
Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Guardian Exploration based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Guardian Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guardian Exploration from the perspective of Guardian Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Guardian Exploration. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guardian Exploration to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guardian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guardian Exploration after-hype prediction price | USD 0.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guardian |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guardian Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guardian Exploration After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guardian Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guardian Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Guardian Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guardian Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guardian Exploration's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guardian Exploration's historical news coverage. Guardian Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.57, respectively. We have considered Guardian Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guardian Exploration is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guardian Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guardian Exploration OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Guardian Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guardian Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guardian Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.71 | 4.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.18 | 0.18 | 0.00 |
|
Guardian Exploration Hype Timeline
Guardian Exploration is currently traded for 0.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guardian is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.71%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guardian Exploration is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.18. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Guardian Exploration had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 2nd of August 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Guardian Exploration Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guardian Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guardian Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guardian Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Guardian Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guardian Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECAOF | Eco Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.18 | 25.00 | (9.09) | 70.99 | |
| DMEHF | Desert Mountain Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.52 | 0.04 | 11.11 | (12.50) | 32.47 | |
| JROOF | Jericho Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 16.10 | (9.09) | 48.86 | |
| SNEGF | Sound Energy plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.64 | |
| ARSLF | Altima Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.97 | 0.04 | 16.67 | (13.16) | 66.19 | |
| PTUUF | Purepoint Uranium Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.78 | 0.02 | 9.38 | (7.89) | 24.09 | |
| NSFDF | NXT Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 19.05 | (13.04) | 37.00 | |
| WLTNF | Wilton Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.00 | (13.33) | 19.05 | |
| PRTDF | Petro Matad Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 40.00 | (28.00) | 128.57 | |
| BSHPF | Challenger Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.29 | 0.07 | 13.33 | (6.25) | 32.65 |
Guardian Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guardian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guardian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guardian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guardian Exploration Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guardian Exploration stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guardian Exploration, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guardian Exploration based on analysis of Guardian Exploration hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guardian Exploration's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guardian Exploration's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Guardian Exploration
The number of cover stories for Guardian Exploration depends on current market conditions and Guardian Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guardian Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guardian Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Guardian OTC Stock analysis
When running Guardian Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Guardian Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardian Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Guardian Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardian Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardian Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardian Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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