Highland Merger Arbitrage Fund Price Prediction

HMEAX Fund  USD 19.45  0.02  0.10%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Highland Merger's share price is approaching 48. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Highland Merger, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Highland Merger's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Highland Merger Arbitrage, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Highland Merger hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Highland Merger Arbitrage from the perspective of Highland Merger response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Highland Merger to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Highland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Highland Merger after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Highland Merger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2419.4519.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.2519.4619.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.4019.4319.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highland Merger. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highland Merger's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highland Merger's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Highland Merger Arbitrage.

Highland Merger After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Highland Merger at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Highland Merger or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Highland Merger, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Highland Merger Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Highland Merger's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Highland Merger's historical news coverage. Highland Merger's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.24 and 19.66, respectively. We have considered Highland Merger's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.45
19.45
After-hype Price
19.66
Upside
Highland Merger is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Highland Merger Arbitrage is based on 3 months time horizon.

Highland Merger Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Highland Merger is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Highland Merger backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Highland Merger, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.21
  0.05 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.45
19.45
0.00 
4.13  
Notes

Highland Merger Hype Timeline

Highland Merger Arbitrage is currently traded for 19.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Highland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 4.13%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Highland Merger is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.45. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Highland Merger Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Highland Merger Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Highland Merger's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Highland Merger's future price movements. Getting to know how Highland Merger's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Highland Merger may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Highland Merger Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Highland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Highland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Highland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Highland Merger Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Highland Merger stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Highland Merger Arbitrage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Highland Merger based on analysis of Highland Merger hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Highland Merger's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Highland Merger's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Highland Merger

The number of cover stories for Highland Merger depends on current market conditions and Highland Merger's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Highland Merger is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Highland Merger's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Highland Mutual Fund

Highland Merger financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Merger security.
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes