Hsbc Holdings Plc Stock Price Patterns

HSBC Stock  USD 88.01  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of HSBC Holdings' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling HSBC, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HSBC Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HSBC Holdings PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting HSBC Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.708
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.3433
Wall Street Target Price
85.44
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
Using HSBC Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HSBC Holdings PLC from the perspective of HSBC Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HSBC Holdings using HSBC Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HSBC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HSBC Holdings' stock price.

HSBC Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in HSBC Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HSBC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HSBC Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
66.9172
Short Percent
0.0018
Short Ratio
3.74
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
77.2626

HSBC Holdings PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to HSBC Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HSBC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HSBC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HSBC Holdings PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HSBC Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HSBC Holdings.

HSBC Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.31  
HSBC Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HSBC Holdings PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HSBC Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HSBC Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when HSBC Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HSBC Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HSBC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

HSBC Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 87.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HSBC contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HSBC Holdings PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0194% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With HSBC Holdings trading at USD 88.01, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HSBC Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring HSBC Holdings PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out HSBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.2191.7093.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.0892.3993.70
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
77.7585.4494.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.931.501.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HSBC Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HSBC Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HSBC Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HSBC Holdings PLC.

HSBC Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of HSBC Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HSBC Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HSBC Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HSBC Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting HSBC Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HSBC Holdings' historical news coverage. HSBC Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 86.62 and 89.24, respectively. We have considered HSBC Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.01
87.93
After-hype Price
89.24
Upside
HSBC Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HSBC Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

HSBC Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HSBC Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HSBC Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HSBC Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
1.31
  0.08 
  0.62 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.01
87.93
0.09 
655.00  
Notes

HSBC Holdings Hype Timeline

HSBC Holdings PLC is currently traded for 88.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.62. HSBC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 87.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on HSBC Holdings is about 81.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.63. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HSBC Holdings PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.71. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2025. The firm had 6:1 split on the 16th of July 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out HSBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

HSBC Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HSBC Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HSBC Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how HSBC Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HSBC Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

HSBC Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HSBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HSBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze HSBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About HSBC Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of HSBC Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HSBC Holdings PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HSBC Holdings based on analysis of HSBC Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HSBC Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HSBC Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.07690.09480.08530.0896
Price To Sales Ratio1.221.261.451.38

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Complementary Tools for HSBC Stock analysis

When running HSBC Holdings' price analysis, check to measure HSBC Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HSBC Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of HSBC Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HSBC Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HSBC Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HSBC Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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