International Business (Germany) Price Prediction

IBM Stock  EUR 216.55  1.85  0.86%   
As of 27th of November 2024, The value of RSI of International Business' share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling International Business, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of International Business' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of International Business and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from International Business' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using International Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of International Business Machines from the perspective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in International Business to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

International Business after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 216.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
194.90255.53257.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
227.62229.25230.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
180.82198.95217.09
Details

International Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of International Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in International Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of International Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting International Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on International Business' historical news coverage. International Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 214.92 and 218.18, respectively. We have considered International Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
216.55
214.92
Downside
216.55
After-hype Price
218.18
Upside
International Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 3 months time horizon.

International Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as International Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading International Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with International Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
1.63
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
216.55
216.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

International Business Hype Timeline

International Business is currently traded for 216.55on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. International is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 216.55. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. International Business last dividend was issued on the 9th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to International Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict International Business' future price movements. Getting to know how International Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how International Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

International Business Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for International using various technical indicators. When you analyze International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About International Business Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of International Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as International Business Machines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of International Business based on analysis of International Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to International Business's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to International Business's related companies.

Story Coverage note for International Business

The number of cover stories for International Business depends on current market conditions and International Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that International Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about International Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

International Business Short Properties

International Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when International Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of International Business Machines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential International Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding904.1 M

Complementary Tools for International Stock analysis

When running International Business' price analysis, check to measure International Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Business is operating at the current time. Most of International Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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