Ibstock PLC (UK) Price Prediction
| IBST Stock | 187.20 1.20 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0794 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1088 | Wall Street Target Price 203.22 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
Using Ibstock PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ibstock PLC from the perspective of Ibstock PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ibstock PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ibstock because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ibstock PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 187.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ibstock |
Ibstock PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ibstock PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ibstock PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ibstock PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ibstock PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ibstock PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ibstock PLC's historical news coverage. Ibstock PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 185.45 and 188.71, respectively. We have considered Ibstock PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ibstock PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ibstock PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ibstock PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ibstock PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ibstock PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ibstock PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.63 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
187.20 | 187.08 | 0.06 |
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Ibstock PLC Hype Timeline
Ibstock PLC is currently traded for 187.20on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Ibstock is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 187.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 54.33%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Ibstock PLC is about 59.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 187.09. About 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ibstock PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Ibstock PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ibstock PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ibstock PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ibstock PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Ibstock PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ibstock PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CEY | Centamin PLC | (3.00) | 2 per month | 1.78 | 0.05 | 3.33 | (2.92) | 28.88 | |
| AAZ | Anglo Asian Mining | (2.50) | 2 per month | 2.34 | 0.05 | 5.31 | (4.66) | 16.37 |
Ibstock PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ibstock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ibstock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ibstock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ibstock PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ibstock PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ibstock PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ibstock PLC based on analysis of Ibstock PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ibstock PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ibstock PLC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ibstock PLC
The number of cover stories for Ibstock PLC depends on current market conditions and Ibstock PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ibstock PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ibstock PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ibstock PLC Short Properties
Ibstock PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ibstock PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ibstock PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ibstock PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ibstock PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 395.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.9 M |
Additional Tools for Ibstock Stock Analysis
When running Ibstock PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ibstock PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ibstock PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ibstock PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ibstock PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ibstock PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ibstock PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.